Bundesliga·Etapa 29·
Bundesliga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
16%
19%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,052,293,34sigur0,08–2,011,44–3,141,51–5,16mai sigur0,00–2,271,21–3,371,03–5,64
Șuturi pe poartă
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,516,9310,44sigur1,65–5,385,18–8,676,83–14,04mai sigur1,16–5,874,72–9,135,88–15,00
Total șuturi
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9417,6428,57sigur7,01–14,8614,08–21,2021,09–36,06mai sigur5,92–15,9513,12–22,1619,04–38,11
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,0012,0419,05sigur4,06–9,959,36–14,7213,42–24,67mai sigur3,23–10,788,62–15,4611,86–26,24
Șuturi blocate
19%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,974,887,85sigur1,09–4,853,23–6,544,32–11,39mai sigur0,55–5,402,74–7,033,28–12,42
Cornere
17%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,786,2710,05sigur1,56–5,994,27–8,275,84–14,26mai sigur0,99–6,563,74–8,814,73–15,37
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție39,4760,68sigur32,68–46,2653,90–67,47mai sigur31,01–47,9352,23–69,14
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție382578959sigur314–449511–644826–1093mai sigur296–467494–662790–1129
Precizie pase %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,1080,00sigur63,07–71,1375,68–84,32mai sigur61,78–72,4274,37–85,63
Faulturi
67%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9611,2025,16sigur11,12–16,808,26–14,1519,38–30,94mai sigur10,37–17,557,51–14,9017,88–32,45
Ofsaiduri
42%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,573,31sigur0,58–2,900,47–2,661,05–5,56mai sigur0,28–3,200,19–2,950,47–6,15
Cartonașe galbene
42%
21%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,833,80sigur0,92–3,020,70–2,961,62–5,98mai sigur0,65–3,290,41–3,251,06–6,53
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
67%
13%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,052,416,46sigur2,61–5,480,85–3,963,46–9,45mai sigur2,22–5,870,43–4,392,65–10,26
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,05 0,08–2,01 0,00–2,27 | 2,29 1,44–3,14 1,21–3,37 | 3,34 1,51–5,16 1,03–5,64 | 16% 19% 65% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,51 1,65–5,38 1,16–5,87 | 6,93 5,18–8,67 4,72–9,13 | 10,44 6,83–14,04 5,88–15,00 | 82% |
| Total șuturi | 10,94 7,01–14,86 5,92–15,95 | 17,64 14,08–21,20 13,12–22,16 | 28,57 21,09–36,06 19,04–38,11 | 88% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,00 4,06–9,95 3,23–10,78 | 12,04 9,36–14,72 8,62–15,46 | 19,05 13,42–24,67 11,86–26,24 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,97 1,09–4,85 0,55–5,40 | 4,88 3,23–6,54 2,74–7,03 | 7,85 4,32–11,39 3,28–12,42 | 19% 69% |
| Cornere | 3,78 1,56–5,99 0,99–6,56 | 6,27 4,27–8,27 3,74–8,81 | 10,05 5,84–14,26 4,73–15,37 | 17% 74% |
| Posesie % | 39,47 32,68–46,26 31,01–47,93 | 60,68 53,90–67,47 52,23–69,14 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 382 314–449 296–467 | 578 511–644 494–662 | 959 826–1093 790–1129 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,10 63,07–71,13 61,78–72,42 | 80,00 75,68–84,32 74,37–85,63 | — | 95% |
| Faulturi | 13,96 11,12–16,80 10,37–17,55 | 11,20 8,26–14,15 7,51–14,90 | 25,16 19,38–30,94 17,88–32,45 | 67% 26% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,57 0,47–2,66 0,19–2,95 | 3,31 1,05–5,56 0,47–6,15 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,97 0,92–3,02 0,65–3,29 | 1,83 0,70–2,96 0,41–3,25 | 3,80 1,62–5,98 1,06–6,53 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 4,05 2,61–5,48 2,22–5,87 | 2,41 0,85–3,96 0,43–4,39 | 6,46 3,46–9,45 2,65–10,26 | 67% 13% 20% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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