Bundesliga·Etapa 29·
Bundesliga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
24%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,393,02sigur0,66–2,600,53–2,241,19–4,84mai sigur0,41–2,850,31–2,470,71–5,32
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,554,429,97sigur3,69–7,412,68–6,176,37–13,58mai sigur3,20–7,902,22–6,635,41–14,53
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,4712,5830,05sigur13,55–21,399,02–16,1422,56–37,54mai sigur12,45–22,498,06–17,1020,51–39,59
Șuturi din careu
64%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,678,6319,30sigur7,73–13,615,95–11,3113,68–24,92mai sigur6,90–14,445,21–12,0512,11–26,49
Șuturi blocate
61%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,213,839,04sigur3,33–7,092,18–5,495,51–12,58mai sigur2,79–7,641,69–5,984,47–13,62
Cornere
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,074,7710,84sigur3,85–8,282,77–6,776,63–15,06mai sigur3,28–8,852,24–7,315,52–16,16
Posesie %
67%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,9446,32sigur48,15–61,7339,54–53,11mai sigur46,48–63,4037,87–54,78
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție499421920sigur432–566354–487786–1053mai sigur414–584337–505750–1089
Precizie pase %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,8768,89sigur63,84–71,9064,57–73,22mai sigur62,55–73,1963,26–74,53
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4211,7022,12sigur7,58–13,258,76–14,6516,34–27,90mai sigur6,82–14,018,01–15,4014,83–29,41
Ofsaiduri
49%
22%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,403,30sigur0,74–3,060,31–2,491,04–5,55mai sigur0,44–3,360,02–2,780,45–6,14
Cartonașe galbene
30%
24%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,642,92sigur0,22–2,320,52–2,770,74–5,09mai sigur0,00–2,590,22–3,060,18–5,65
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,853,906,75sigur1,42–4,292,34–5,453,76–9,74mai sigur1,03–4,681,92–5,882,95–10,56
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,60 0,41–2,85 | 1,39 0,53–2,24 0,31–2,47 | 3,02 1,19–4,84 0,71–5,32 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,55 3,69–7,41 3,20–7,90 | 4,42 2,68–6,17 2,22–6,63 | 9,97 6,37–13,58 5,41–14,53 | 58% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 17,47 13,55–21,39 12,45–22,49 | 12,58 9,02–16,14 8,06–17,10 | 30,05 22,56–37,54 20,51–39,59 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,67 7,73–13,61 6,90–14,44 | 8,63 5,95–11,31 5,21–12,05 | 19,30 13,68–24,92 12,11–26,49 | 64% 28% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,21 3,33–7,09 2,79–7,64 | 3,83 2,18–5,49 1,69–5,98 | 9,04 5,51–12,58 4,47–13,62 | 61% 26% |
| Cornere | 6,07 3,85–8,28 3,28–8,85 | 4,77 2,77–6,77 2,24–7,31 | 10,84 6,63–15,06 5,52–16,16 | 59% 29% |
| Posesie % | 54,94 48,15–61,73 46,48–63,40 | 46,32 39,54–53,11 37,87–54,78 | — | 67% 28% |
| Pase | 499 432–566 414–584 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,87 63,84–71,90 62,55–73,19 | 68,89 64,57–73,22 63,26–74,53 | — | 42% 53% |
| Faulturi | 10,42 7,58–13,25 6,82–14,01 | 11,70 8,76–14,65 8,01–15,40 | 22,12 16,34–27,90 14,83–29,41 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,36 | 1,40 0,31–2,49 0,02–2,78 | 3,30 1,04–5,55 0,45–6,14 | 49% 22% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,27 0,22–2,32 0,00–2,59 | 1,64 0,52–2,77 0,22–3,06 | 2,92 0,74–5,09 0,18–5,65 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,85 1,42–4,29 1,03–4,68 | 3,90 2,34–5,45 1,92–5,88 | 6,75 3,76–9,74 2,95–10,56 | 27% 15% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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