Bundesliga·Etapa 29·
Bundesliga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,653,34sigur0,72–2,660,79–2,501,51–5,16mai sigur0,47–2,910,56–2,731,03–5,64
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,395,1710,57sigur3,53–7,263,43–6,926,96–14,17mai sigur3,04–7,752,97–7,386,01–15,13
Total șuturi
60%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8113,9929,80sigur11,88–19,7310,43–17,5522,31–37,28mai sigur10,79–20,829,47–18,5120,26–39,33
Șuturi din careu
52%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,179,4119,58sigur7,23–13,126,73–12,0913,96–25,20mai sigur6,40–13,945,99–12,8312,39–26,77
Șuturi blocate
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,254,098,33sigur2,36–6,132,43–5,744,80–11,87mai sigur1,82–6,671,94–6,233,76–12,90
Cornere
49%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,244,8110,06sigur3,03–7,462,81–6,815,84–14,27mai sigur2,46–8,032,28–7,344,74–15,38
Posesie %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,3149,47sigur44,52–58,1042,69–56,26mai sigur42,85–59,7741,02–57,93
Pase
60%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție470439909sigur403–537373–506775–1043mai sigur385–555355–523740–1078
Precizie pase %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,4876,94sigur67,45–75,5172,62–81,26mai sigur66,16–76,8071,31–82,57
Faulturi
45%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8311,8923,72sigur9,00–14,678,95–14,8417,94–29,51mai sigur8,24–15,438,20–15,5916,44–31,01
Ofsaiduri
41%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,523,17sigur0,49–2,810,42–2,610,91–5,42mai sigur0,19–3,110,13–2,900,32–6,01
Cartonașe galbene
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,602,083,68sigur0,55–2,650,95–3,211,50–5,86mai sigur0,28–2,910,66–3,500,94–6,41
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
40%
16%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,173,286,45sigur1,73–4,601,72–4,833,45–9,44mai sigur1,34–4,991,30–5,262,64–10,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,69 0,72–2,66 0,47–2,91 | 1,65 0,79–2,50 0,56–2,73 | 3,34 1,51–5,16 1,03–5,64 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,39 3,53–7,26 3,04–7,75 | 5,17 3,43–6,92 2,97–7,38 | 10,57 6,96–14,17 6,01–15,13 | 46% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 15,81 11,88–19,73 10,79–20,82 | 13,99 10,43–17,55 9,47–18,51 | 29,80 22,31–37,28 20,26–39,33 | 60% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,17 7,23–13,12 6,40–13,94 | 9,41 6,73–12,09 5,99–12,83 | 19,58 13,96–25,20 12,39–26,77 | 52% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,25 2,36–6,13 1,82–6,67 | 4,09 2,43–5,74 1,94–6,23 | 8,33 4,80–11,87 3,76–12,90 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,24 3,03–7,46 2,46–8,03 | 4,81 2,81–6,81 2,28–7,34 | 10,06 5,84–14,27 4,74–15,38 | 49% 38% |
| Posesie % | 51,31 44,52–58,10 42,85–59,77 | 49,47 42,69–56,26 41,02–57,93 | — | 52% 43% |
| Pase | 470 403–537 385–555 | 439 373–506 355–523 | 909 775–1043 740–1078 | 60% 40% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,48 67,45–75,51 66,16–76,80 | 76,94 72,62–81,26 71,31–82,57 | — | 22% 74% |
| Faulturi | 11,83 9,00–14,67 8,24–15,43 | 11,89 8,95–14,84 8,20–15,59 | 23,72 17,94–29,51 16,44–31,01 | 45% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,65 0,49–2,81 0,19–3,11 | 1,52 0,42–2,61 0,13–2,90 | 3,17 0,91–5,42 0,32–6,01 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,60 0,55–2,65 0,28–2,91 | 2,08 0,95–3,21 0,66–3,50 | 3,68 1,50–5,86 0,94–6,41 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,17 1,73–4,60 1,34–4,99 | 3,28 1,72–4,83 1,30–5,26 | 6,45 3,45–9,44 2,64–10,25 | 40% 16% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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