Bundesliga·Etapa 30·
Bundesliga·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
19%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,391,213,59sigur1,42–3,360,35–2,061,77–5,42mai sigur1,17–3,610,12–2,291,29–5,90
Șuturi pe poartă
70%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,964,6911,65sigur5,10–8,832,95–6,438,05–15,26mai sigur4,61–9,322,48–6,907,09–16,21
Total șuturi
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,1812,3832,56sigur16,26–24,108,82–15,9425,07–40,05mai sigur15,16–25,207,86–16,9023,02–42,10
Șuturi din careu
82%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,058,4121,46sigur10,11–15,995,73–11,0915,84–27,08mai sigur9,28–16,824,99–11,8314,27–28,65
Șuturi blocate
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,332,988,31sigur3,45–7,211,33–4,634,77–11,85mai sigur2,90–7,760,83–5,123,74–12,88
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,794,2511,03sigur4,57–9,002,25–6,256,82–15,24mai sigur4,00–9,571,71–6,785,71–16,35
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,2939,93sigur53,50–67,0833,14–46,71mai sigur51,83–68,7531,47–48,38
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție596393989sigur529–663326–459855–1123mai sigur511–681309–477820–1158
Precizie pase %
74%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,5270,98sigur72,49–80,5566,66–75,30mai sigur71,20–81,8565,35–76,61
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6511,1920,83sigur6,81–12,488,24–14,1315,05–26,61mai sigur6,05–13,247,49–14,8813,54–28,12
Ofsaiduri
17%
16%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,502,914,41sigur0,34–2,661,82–4,012,16–6,66mai sigur0,04–2,961,53–4,291,57–7,25
Cartonașe galbene
25%
23%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,181,823,00sigur0,13–2,220,69–2,950,82–5,18mai sigur0,00–2,490,40–3,240,26–5,73
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,100,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
28%
14%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,194,257,44sigur1,76–4,632,69–5,804,45–10,43mai sigur1,37–5,022,27–6,233,63–11,24
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,39 1,42–3,36 1,17–3,61 | 1,21 0,35–2,06 0,12–2,29 | 3,59 1,77–5,42 1,29–5,90 | 64% 19% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,96 5,10–8,83 4,61–9,32 | 4,69 2,95–6,43 2,48–6,90 | 11,65 8,05–15,26 7,09–16,21 | 70% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 20,18 16,26–24,10 15,16–25,20 | 12,38 8,82–15,94 7,86–16,90 | 32,56 25,07–40,05 23,02–42,10 | 90% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,05 10,11–15,99 9,28–16,82 | 8,41 5,73–11,09 4,99–11,83 | 21,46 15,84–27,08 14,27–28,65 | 82% 13% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,33 3,45–7,21 2,90–7,76 | 2,98 1,33–4,63 0,83–5,12 | 8,31 4,77–11,85 3,74–12,88 | 74% 16% |
| Cornere | 6,79 4,57–9,00 4,00–9,57 | 4,25 2,25–6,25 1,71–6,78 | 11,03 6,82–15,24 5,71–16,35 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 60,29 53,50–67,08 51,83–68,75 | 39,93 33,14–46,71 31,47–48,38 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 596 529–663 511–681 | 393 326–459 309–477 | 989 855–1123 820–1158 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,52 72,49–80,55 71,20–81,85 | 70,98 66,66–75,30 65,35–76,61 | — | 74% 22% |
| Faulturi | 9,65 6,81–12,48 6,05–13,24 | 11,19 8,24–14,13 7,49–14,88 | 20,83 15,05–26,61 13,54–28,12 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,50 0,34–2,66 0,04–2,96 | 2,91 1,82–4,01 1,53–4,29 | 4,41 2,16–6,66 1,57–7,25 | 17% 16% 67% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,18 0,13–2,22 0,00–2,49 | 1,82 0,69–2,95 0,40–3,24 | 3,00 0,82–5,18 0,26–5,73 | 25% 23% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,19 1,76–4,63 1,37–5,02 | 4,25 2,69–5,80 2,27–6,23 | 7,44 4,45–10,43 3,63–11,24 | 28% 14% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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