Bundesliga·Etapa 31·
Bundesliga·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
62%
19%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,301,193,49sigur1,33–3,270,33–2,041,66–5,31mai sigur1,08–3,520,10–2,271,18–5,79
Șuturi pe poartă
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,193,8610,06sigur4,33–8,052,12–5,616,45–13,66mai sigur3,84–8,541,66–6,075,50–14,62
Total șuturi
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,4011,4428,84sigur13,47–21,327,88–15,0121,35–36,33mai sigur12,38–22,416,92–15,9719,30–38,38
Șuturi din careu
81%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,117,7119,82sigur9,17–15,055,03–10,3914,20–25,45mai sigur8,34–15,884,29–11,1312,63–27,01
Șuturi blocate
61%
13%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,473,177,64sigur2,59–6,351,52–4,834,11–11,18mai sigur2,04–6,891,03–5,323,07–12,21
Cornere
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,764,1810,94sigur4,55–8,972,18–6,186,73–15,15mai sigur3,97–9,551,65–6,715,62–16,26
Posesie %
63%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,2446,81sigur46,45–60,0340,02–53,59mai sigur44,78–61,7038,35–55,26
Pase
67%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție504451955sigur437–571385–518822–1089mai sigur419–589367–535786–1125
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,3475,50sigur71,31–79,3771,17–79,82mai sigur70,02–80,6669,86–81,13
Faulturi
53%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,849,9720,81sigur8,00–13,687,03–12,9115,03–26,59mai sigur7,24–14,436,28–13,6613,52–28,09
Ofsaiduri
62%
16%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,011,834,85sigur1,85–4,170,74–2,932,59–7,10mai sigur1,55–4,470,45–3,222,00–7,69
Cartonașe galbene
33%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,833,37sigur0,49–2,590,70–2,961,19–5,55mai sigur0,23–2,860,41–3,250,64–6,11
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
28%
15%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,733,696,42sigur1,29–4,172,13–5,243,43–9,41mai sigur0,91–4,551,71–5,672,61–10,22
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,30 1,33–3,27 1,08–3,52 | 1,19 0,33–2,04 0,10–2,27 | 3,49 1,66–5,31 1,18–5,79 | 62% 19% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,19 4,33–8,05 3,84–8,54 | 3,86 2,12–5,61 1,66–6,07 | 10,06 6,45–13,66 5,50–14,62 | 72% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 17,40 13,47–21,32 12,38–22,41 | 11,44 7,88–15,01 6,92–15,97 | 28,84 21,35–36,33 19,30–38,38 | 85% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,11 9,17–15,05 8,34–15,88 | 7,71 5,03–10,39 4,29–11,13 | 19,82 14,20–25,45 12,63–27,01 | 81% 13% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,47 2,59–6,35 2,04–6,89 | 3,17 1,52–4,83 1,03–5,32 | 7,64 4,11–11,18 3,07–12,21 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Cornere | 6,76 4,55–8,97 3,97–9,55 | 4,18 2,18–6,18 1,65–6,71 | 10,94 6,73–15,15 5,62–16,26 | 74% 17% |
| Posesie % | 53,24 46,45–60,03 44,78–61,70 | 46,81 40,02–53,59 38,35–55,26 | — | 63% 33% |
| Pase | 504 437–571 419–589 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 955 822–1089 786–1125 | 67% 33% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,34 71,31–79,37 70,02–80,66 | 75,50 71,17–79,82 69,86–81,13 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 10,84 8,00–13,68 7,24–14,43 | 9,97 7,03–12,91 6,28–13,66 | 20,81 15,03–26,59 13,52–28,09 | 53% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,01 1,85–4,17 1,55–4,47 | 1,83 0,74–2,93 0,45–3,22 | 4,85 2,59–7,10 2,00–7,69 | 62% 16% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,23–2,86 | 1,83 0,70–2,96 0,41–3,25 | 3,37 1,19–5,55 0,64–6,11 | 33% 23% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,73 1,29–4,17 0,91–4,55 | 3,69 2,13–5,24 1,71–5,67 | 6,42 3,43–9,41 2,61–10,22 | 28% 15% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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