Bundesliga·Etapa 31·
Bundesliga·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
67%
18%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,361,043,40sigur1,40–3,330,18–1,891,58–5,22mai sigur1,14–3,580,00–2,121,10–5,70
Șuturi pe poartă
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,333,7610,10sigur4,47–8,202,02–5,506,49–13,70mai sigur3,98–8,691,55–5,975,53–14,66
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,9310,2429,18sigur15,01–22,866,68–13,8121,69–36,67mai sigur13,92–23,955,72–14,7719,64–38,72
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,866,6519,52sigur9,92–15,803,97–9,3313,89–25,14mai sigur9,09–16,633,24–10,0712,33–26,71
Șuturi blocate
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,932,568,49sigur4,05–7,810,90–4,214,95–12,02mai sigur3,50–8,350,41–4,703,92–13,06
Cornere
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,213,9811,19sigur5,00–9,431,98–5,986,98–15,41mai sigur4,43–10,001,45–6,515,87–16,51
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,6539,35sigur53,86–67,4432,57–46,14mai sigur52,19–69,1130,90–47,81
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție531348879sigur463–598282–415745–1013mai sigur445–616264–432710–1048
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,3565,36sigur70,32–78,3861,04–69,69mai sigur69,03–79,6759,73–71,00
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8512,0523,89sigur9,01–14,689,10–14,9918,11–29,67mai sigur8,25–15,448,35–15,7416,61–31,18
Ofsaiduri
47%
22%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,503,41sigur0,75–3,070,41–2,601,16–5,66mai sigur0,45–3,370,12–2,890,57–6,25
Cartonașe galbene
24%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,452,233,68sigur0,40–2,491,10–3,361,50–5,86mai sigur0,13–2,760,81–3,650,94–6,41
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,120,19sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,310,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,440,00–0,82
Parade portar
20%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,584,296,87sigur1,15–4,022,74–5,853,88–9,87mai sigur0,76–4,412,31–6,273,07–10,68
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,36 1,40–3,33 1,14–3,58 | 1,04 0,18–1,89 0,00–2,12 | 3,40 1,58–5,22 1,10–5,70 | 67% 18% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,33 4,47–8,20 3,98–8,69 | 3,76 2,02–5,50 1,55–5,97 | 10,10 6,49–13,70 5,53–14,66 | 74% 16% |
| Total șuturi | 18,93 15,01–22,86 13,92–23,95 | 10,24 6,68–13,81 5,72–14,77 | 29,18 21,69–36,67 19,64–38,72 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,86 9,92–15,80 9,09–16,63 | 6,65 3,97–9,33 3,24–10,07 | 19,52 13,89–25,14 12,33–26,71 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,93 4,05–7,81 3,50–8,35 | 2,56 0,90–4,21 0,41–4,70 | 8,49 4,95–12,02 3,92–13,06 | 84% |
| Cornere | 7,21 5,00–9,43 4,43–10,00 | 3,98 1,98–5,98 1,45–6,51 | 11,19 6,98–15,41 5,87–16,51 | 79% |
| Posesie % | 60,65 53,86–67,44 52,19–69,11 | 39,35 32,57–46,14 30,90–47,81 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 531 463–598 445–616 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,35 70,32–78,38 69,03–79,67 | 65,36 61,04–69,69 59,73–71,00 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 11,85 9,01–14,68 8,25–15,44 | 12,05 9,10–14,99 8,35–15,74 | 23,89 18,11–29,67 16,61–31,18 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,91 0,75–3,07 0,45–3,37 | 1,50 0,41–2,60 0,12–2,89 | 3,41 1,16–5,66 0,57–6,25 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,45 0,40–2,49 0,13–2,76 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 3,68 1,50–5,86 0,94–6,41 | 24% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,58 1,15–4,02 0,76–4,41 | 4,29 2,74–5,85 2,31–6,27 | 6,87 3,88–9,87 3,07–10,68 | 20% 68% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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