Bundesliga·Etapa 31·
Bundesliga·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
23%
21%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,262,023,27sigur0,29–2,221,16–2,871,45–5,10mai sigur0,04–2,470,94–3,100,97–5,58
Șuturi pe poartă
21%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,176,2810,44sigur2,30–6,034,53–8,026,84–14,05mai sigur1,81–6,524,07–8,485,88–15,00
Total șuturi
19%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9115,9827,89sigur7,98–15,8312,42–19,5420,40–35,37mai sigur6,89–16,9211,46–20,5018,35–37,42
Șuturi din careu
18%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,0711,5519,62sigur5,12–11,018,87–14,2314,00–25,24mai sigur4,29–11,848,14–14,9712,43–26,81
Șuturi blocate
28%
14%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,264,337,59sigur1,37–5,142,68–5,984,05–11,12mai sigur0,83–5,682,19–6,483,02–12,16
Cornere
27%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,345,7710,10sigur2,12–6,553,77–7,775,89–14,32mai sigur1,55–7,123,23–8,304,78–15,42
Posesie %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,7754,97sigur39,98–53,5648,18–61,75mai sigur38,31–55,2346,51–63,43
Pase
25%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție417499916sigur350–484432–565782–1050mai sigur332–503415–583747–1085
Precizie pase %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,9078,11sigur68,87–76,9273,78–82,43mai sigur67,57–78,2272,47–83,74
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2111,9924,20sigur9,38–15,059,04–14,9318,42–29,98mai sigur8,62–15,818,29–15,6816,91–31,49
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,643,33sigur0,53–2,850,55–2,731,08–5,59mai sigur0,23–3,150,26–3,020,49–6,18
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,983,71sigur0,69–2,790,85–3,111,54–5,89mai sigur0,42–3,050,56–3,400,98–6,45
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
56%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,812,916,72sigur2,38–5,251,35–4,463,73–9,71mai sigur1,99–5,640,93–4,892,92–10,53
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,26 0,29–2,22 0,04–2,47 | 2,02 1,16–2,87 0,94–3,10 | 3,27 1,45–5,10 0,97–5,58 | 23% 21% 55% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,17 2,30–6,03 1,81–6,52 | 6,28 4,53–8,02 4,07–8,48 | 10,44 6,84–14,05 5,88–15,00 | 21% 69% |
| Total șuturi | 11,91 7,98–15,83 6,89–16,92 | 15,98 12,42–19,54 11,46–20,50 | 27,89 20,40–35,37 18,35–37,42 | 19% 75% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,07 5,12–11,01 4,29–11,84 | 11,55 8,87–14,23 8,14–14,97 | 19,62 14,00–25,24 12,43–26,81 | 18% 75% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,26 1,37–5,14 0,83–5,68 | 4,33 2,68–5,98 2,19–6,48 | 7,59 4,05–11,12 3,02–12,16 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Cornere | 4,34 2,12–6,55 1,55–7,12 | 5,77 3,77–7,77 3,23–8,30 | 10,10 5,89–14,32 4,78–15,42 | 27% 61% |
| Posesie % | 46,77 39,98–53,56 38,31–55,23 | 54,97 48,18–61,75 46,51–63,43 | — | 29% 66% |
| Pase | 417 350–484 332–503 | 499 432–565 415–583 | 916 782–1050 747–1085 | 25% 75% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,90 68,87–76,92 67,57–78,22 | 78,11 73,78–82,43 72,47–83,74 | — | 23% 73% |
| Faulturi | 12,21 9,38–15,05 8,62–15,81 | 11,99 9,04–14,93 8,29–15,68 | 24,20 18,42–29,98 16,91–31,49 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,23–3,15 | 1,64 0,55–2,73 0,26–3,02 | 3,33 1,08–5,59 0,49–6,18 | 40% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,74 0,69–2,79 0,42–3,05 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 3,71 1,54–5,89 0,98–6,45 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,81 2,38–5,25 1,99–5,64 | 2,91 1,35–4,46 0,93–4,89 | 6,72 3,73–9,71 2,92–10,53 | 56% 15% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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