Bundesliga·Etapa 31·
Bundesliga·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
25%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,562,91sigur0,37–2,310,71–2,421,08–4,73mai sigur0,12–2,560,48–2,650,60–5,21
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
13%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,764,879,63sigur2,90–6,623,13–6,626,03–13,24mai sigur2,41–7,112,66–7,085,07–14,19
Total șuturi
49%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1314,7729,90sigur11,21–19,0611,21–18,3322,41–37,39mai sigur10,12–20,1510,25–19,2920,36–39,44
Șuturi din careu
43%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,139,3418,47sigur6,19–12,076,66–12,0212,85–24,10mai sigur5,36–12,905,93–12,7611,28–25,66
Șuturi blocate
44%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,043,937,97sigur2,16–5,922,28–5,584,43–11,51mai sigur1,62–6,471,78–6,073,40–12,54
Cornere
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,794,959,74sigur2,58–7,002,95–6,955,53–13,95mai sigur2,00–7,582,42–7,484,42–15,06
Posesie %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,3154,40sigur38,52–52,1047,61–61,18mai sigur36,85–53,7745,94–62,85
Pase
27%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție408481889sigur341–475415–548756–1023mai sigur322–493397–565720–1059
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,1774,50sigur63,14–71,2070,17–78,82mai sigur61,85–72,5068,86–80,13
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3912,2423,63sigur8,55–14,239,29–15,1817,84–29,41mai sigur7,79–14,988,54–15,9316,34–30,91
Ofsaiduri
62%
19%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,371,253,63sigur1,21–3,530,16–2,351,37–5,88mai sigur0,91–3,840,00–2,630,78–6,47
Cartonașe galbene
38%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,743,43sigur0,64–2,740,62–2,871,25–5,61mai sigur0,37–3,000,32–3,160,70–6,17
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
40%
16%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,273,386,65sigur1,83–4,701,83–4,943,66–9,64mai sigur1,44–5,091,40–5,372,85–10,46
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,56 0,71–2,42 0,48–2,65 | 2,91 1,08–4,73 0,60–5,21 | 33% 25% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,76 2,90–6,62 2,41–7,11 | 4,87 3,13–6,62 2,66–7,08 | 9,63 6,03–13,24 5,07–14,19 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total șuturi | 15,13 11,21–19,06 10,12–20,15 | 14,77 11,21–18,33 10,25–19,29 | 29,90 22,41–37,39 20,36–39,44 | 49% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,13 6,19–12,07 5,36–12,90 | 9,34 6,66–12,02 5,93–12,76 | 18,47 12,85–24,10 11,28–25,66 | 43% 47% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,04 2,16–5,92 1,62–6,47 | 3,93 2,28–5,58 1,78–6,07 | 7,97 4,43–11,51 3,40–12,54 | 44% 14% 41% |
| Cornere | 4,79 2,58–7,00 2,00–7,58 | 4,95 2,95–6,95 2,42–7,48 | 9,74 5,53–13,95 4,42–15,06 | 41% 46% |
| Posesie % | 45,31 38,52–52,10 36,85–53,77 | 54,40 47,61–61,18 45,94–62,85 | — | 28% 68% |
| Pase | 408 341–475 322–493 | 481 415–548 397–565 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 27% 73% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,17 63,14–71,20 61,85–72,50 | 74,50 70,17–78,82 68,86–80,13 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 11,39 8,55–14,23 7,79–14,98 | 12,24 9,29–15,18 8,54–15,93 | 23,63 17,84–29,41 16,34–30,91 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,37 1,21–3,53 0,91–3,84 | 1,25 0,16–2,35 0,00–2,63 | 3,63 1,37–5,88 0,78–6,47 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,69 0,64–2,74 0,37–3,00 | 1,74 0,62–2,87 0,32–3,16 | 3,43 1,25–5,61 0,70–6,17 | 38% 23% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,27 1,83–4,70 1,44–5,09 | 3,38 1,83–4,94 1,40–5,37 | 6,65 3,66–9,64 2,85–10,46 | 40% 16% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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