Bundesliga·Etapa 32·
Bundesliga·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
65%
19%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,190,993,18sigur1,22–3,160,14–1,851,36–5,00mai sigur0,97–3,410,00–2,070,88–5,48
Șuturi pe poartă
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,273,709,97sigur4,41–8,131,96–5,446,36–13,57mai sigur3,92–8,621,49–5,915,41–14,53
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,3210,3028,62sigur14,39–22,246,74–13,8621,13–36,11mai sigur13,30–23,335,78–14,8219,08–38,16
Șuturi din careu
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,956,5118,46sigur9,01–14,893,83–9,1912,84–24,08mai sigur8,18–15,723,09–9,9311,27–25,65
Șuturi blocate
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,102,988,08sigur3,21–6,981,33–4,634,54–11,61mai sigur2,67–7,520,83–5,133,51–12,65
Cornere
77%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,433,6310,06sigur4,22–8,641,63–5,635,84–14,27mai sigur3,64–9,221,10–6,164,74–15,38
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,0642,39sigur50,27–63,8535,60–49,17mai sigur48,60–65,5233,93–50,84
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție532392924sigur465–599325–458790–1058mai sigur447–617308–476755–1093
Precizie pase %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,3971,78sigur71,36–79,4267,45–76,10mai sigur70,07–80,7266,14–77,41
Faulturi
29%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1512,2622,41sigur7,31–12,999,32–15,2116,63–28,20mai sigur6,56–13,748,57–15,9615,13–29,70
Ofsaiduri
43%
24%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,423,08sigur0,50–2,820,33–2,510,83–5,34mai sigur0,20–3,130,04–2,800,24–5,93
Cartonașe galbene
23%
22%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,222,003,22sigur0,17–2,270,87–3,131,04–5,40mai sigur0,00–2,530,58–3,420,48–5,95
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,120,16sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,310,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,440,00–0,79
Parade portar
23%
14%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,533,836,37sigur1,10–3,972,28–5,393,37–9,36mai sigur0,71–4,361,85–5,812,56–10,17
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,19 1,22–3,16 0,97–3,41 | 0,99 0,14–1,85 0,00–2,07 | 3,18 1,36–5,00 0,88–5,48 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,27 4,41–8,13 3,92–8,62 | 3,70 1,96–5,44 1,49–5,91 | 9,97 6,36–13,57 5,41–14,53 | 74% 16% |
| Total șuturi | 18,32 14,39–22,24 13,30–23,33 | 10,30 6,74–13,86 5,78–14,82 | 28,62 21,13–36,11 19,08–38,16 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,95 9,01–14,89 8,18–15,72 | 6,51 3,83–9,19 3,09–9,93 | 18,46 12,84–24,08 11,27–25,65 | 88% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,10 3,21–6,98 2,67–7,52 | 2,98 1,33–4,63 0,83–5,13 | 8,08 4,54–11,61 3,51–12,65 | 72% 18% |
| Cornere | 6,43 4,22–8,64 3,64–9,22 | 3,63 1,63–5,63 1,10–6,16 | 10,06 5,84–14,27 4,74–15,38 | 77% 15% |
| Posesie % | 57,06 50,27–63,85 48,60–65,52 | 42,39 35,60–49,17 33,93–50,84 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 532 465–599 447–617 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 924 790–1058 755–1093 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,39 71,36–79,42 70,07–80,72 | 71,78 67,45–76,10 66,14–77,41 | — | 66% 30% |
| Faulturi | 10,15 7,31–12,99 6,56–13,74 | 12,26 9,32–15,21 8,57–15,96 | 22,41 16,63–28,20 15,13–29,70 | 29% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,20–3,13 | 1,42 0,33–2,51 0,04–2,80 | 3,08 0,83–5,34 0,24–5,93 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,22 0,17–2,27 0,00–2,53 | 2,00 0,87–3,13 0,58–3,42 | 3,22 1,04–5,40 0,48–5,95 | 23% 22% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,53 1,10–3,97 0,71–4,36 | 3,83 2,28–5,39 1,85–5,81 | 6,37 3,37–9,36 2,56–10,17 | 23% 14% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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