Bundesliga·Etapa 32·
Bundesliga·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
19%
18%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,332,453,78sigur0,36–2,291,60–3,311,96–5,60mai sigur0,11–2,541,37–3,541,48–6,08
Șuturi pe poartă
19%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,246,6310,87sigur2,38–6,104,89–8,377,26–14,47mai sigur1,89–6,594,42–8,846,31–15,43
Total șuturi
19%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3117,7231,03sigur9,38–17,2314,16–21,2923,54–38,52mai sigur8,29–18,3213,20–22,2521,49–40,57
Șuturi din careu
19%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,6312,0920,72sigur5,68–11,579,41–14,7815,10–26,34mai sigur4,86–12,408,68–15,5113,53–27,91
Șuturi blocate
31%
13%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,824,778,58sigur1,93–5,703,11–6,425,05–12,12mai sigur1,39–6,242,62–6,914,01–13,15
Cornere
29%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,675,9610,63sigur2,46–6,883,96–7,966,42–14,85mai sigur1,88–7,463,43–8,495,31–15,95
Posesie %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție39,3661,07sigur32,57–46,1554,29–67,86mai sigur30,90–47,8252,62–69,53
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție368553921sigur301–436486–619788–1055mai sigur283–454469–637752–1091
Precizie pase %
97%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,7777,25sigur57,74–65,8072,92–81,57mai sigur56,45–67,0971,61–82,88
Faulturi
55%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5310,3821,91sigur8,69–14,377,44–13,3316,13–27,69mai sigur7,93–15,126,69–14,0814,62–29,20
Ofsaiduri
29%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,562,083,64sigur0,40–2,720,99–3,181,39–5,89mai sigur0,10–3,020,70–3,460,80–6,48
Cartonașe galbene
36%
25%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,492,92sigur0,38–2,480,36–2,620,74–5,10mai sigur0,11–2,740,07–2,910,19–5,66
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,070,14sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,250,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,390,00–0,77
Parade portar
64%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,472,967,43sigur3,04–5,911,40–4,524,44–10,42mai sigur2,65–6,300,98–4,943,63–11,24
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,33 0,36–2,29 0,11–2,54 | 2,45 1,60–3,31 1,37–3,54 | 3,78 1,96–5,60 1,48–6,08 | 19% 18% 62% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,24 2,38–6,10 1,89–6,59 | 6,63 4,89–8,37 4,42–8,84 | 10,87 7,26–14,47 6,31–15,43 | 19% 72% |
| Total șuturi | 13,31 9,38–17,23 8,29–18,32 | 17,72 14,16–21,29 13,20–22,25 | 31,03 23,54–38,52 21,49–40,57 | 19% 76% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,63 5,68–11,57 4,86–12,40 | 12,09 9,41–14,78 8,68–15,51 | 20,72 15,10–26,34 13,53–27,91 | 19% 74% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,82 1,93–5,70 1,39–6,24 | 4,77 3,11–6,42 2,62–6,91 | 8,58 5,05–12,12 4,01–13,15 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Cornere | 4,67 2,46–6,88 1,88–7,46 | 5,96 3,96–7,96 3,43–8,49 | 10,63 6,42–14,85 5,31–15,95 | 29% 59% |
| Posesie % | 39,36 32,57–46,15 30,90–47,82 | 61,07 54,29–67,86 52,62–69,53 | — | 89% |
| Pase | 368 301–436 283–454 | 553 486–619 469–637 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,77 57,74–65,80 56,45–67,09 | 77,25 72,92–81,57 71,61–82,88 | — | 97% |
| Faulturi | 11,53 8,69–14,37 7,93–15,12 | 10,38 7,44–13,33 6,69–14,08 | 21,91 16,13–27,69 14,62–29,20 | 55% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 2,08 0,99–3,18 0,70–3,46 | 3,64 1,39–5,89 0,80–6,48 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,43 0,38–2,48 0,11–2,74 | 1,49 0,36–2,62 0,07–2,91 | 2,92 0,74–5,10 0,19–5,66 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,07 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,39 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 4,47 3,04–5,91 2,65–6,30 | 2,96 1,40–4,52 0,98–4,94 | 7,43 4,44–10,42 3,63–11,24 | 64% 23% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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