Bundesliga·Etapa 32·
Bundesliga·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,973,47sigur0,53–2,471,12–2,831,65–5,29mai sigur0,28–2,720,89–3,051,17–5,77
Șuturi pe poartă
32%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,865,8510,71sigur3,00–6,724,11–7,597,11–14,32mai sigur2,51–7,213,64–8,066,15–15,27
Total șuturi
41%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2515,0429,29sigur10,33–18,1811,48–18,6021,81–36,78mai sigur9,24–19,2710,52–19,5619,76–38,83
Șuturi din careu
36%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,5610,6120,17sigur6,62–12,507,93–13,2914,55–25,80mai sigur5,79–13,337,19–14,0312,98–27,36
Șuturi blocate
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,114,368,47sigur2,23–5,992,70–6,014,93–12,00mai sigur1,68–6,542,21–6,503,90–13,04
Cornere
31%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,785,9110,69sigur2,57–6,993,91–7,916,48–14,90mai sigur1,99–7,573,38–8,445,37–16,01
Posesie %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,8956,96sigur37,10–50,6850,17–63,74mai sigur35,43–52,3548,50–65,41
Pase
16%
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție385501886sigur317–452435–568752–1019mai sigur299–470417–585716–1055
Precizie pase %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,4176,79sigur60,38–68,4472,46–81,11mai sigur59,09–69,7371,15–82,42
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4412,0322,47sigur7,60–13,289,09–14,9816,69–28,26mai sigur6,85–14,038,34–15,7315,19–29,76
Ofsaiduri
27%
20%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,562,233,79sigur0,40–2,721,13–3,321,53–6,04mai sigur0,10–3,020,84–3,610,95–6,63
Cartonașe galbene
30%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,903,38sigur0,43–2,520,77–3,031,20–5,55mai sigur0,16–2,790,48–3,320,64–6,11
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,502,966,45sigur2,06–4,931,40–4,513,46–9,45mai sigur1,67–5,320,98–4,942,65–10,26
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,50 0,53–2,47 0,28–2,72 | 1,97 1,12–2,83 0,89–3,05 | 3,47 1,65–5,29 1,17–5,77 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,86 3,00–6,72 2,51–7,21 | 5,85 4,11–7,59 3,64–8,06 | 10,71 7,11–14,32 6,15–15,27 | 32% 56% |
| Total șuturi | 14,25 10,33–18,18 9,24–19,27 | 15,04 11,48–18,60 10,52–19,56 | 29,29 21,81–36,78 19,76–38,83 | 41% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,56 6,62–12,50 5,79–13,33 | 10,61 7,93–13,29 7,19–14,03 | 20,17 14,55–25,80 12,98–27,36 | 36% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,11 2,23–5,99 1,68–6,54 | 4,36 2,70–6,01 2,21–6,50 | 8,47 4,93–12,00 3,90–13,04 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,78 2,57–6,99 1,99–7,57 | 5,91 3,91–7,91 3,38–8,44 | 10,69 6,48–14,90 5,37–16,01 | 31% 58% |
| Posesie % | 43,89 37,10–50,68 35,43–52,35 | 56,96 50,17–63,74 48,50–65,41 | — | 20% 76% |
| Pase | 385 317–452 299–470 | 501 435–568 417–585 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 16% 83% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,41 60,38–68,44 59,09–69,73 | 76,79 72,46–81,11 71,15–82,42 | — | 94% |
| Faulturi | 10,44 7,60–13,28 6,85–14,03 | 12,03 9,09–14,98 8,34–15,73 | 22,47 16,69–28,26 15,19–29,76 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 2,23 1,13–3,32 0,84–3,61 | 3,79 1,53–6,04 0,95–6,63 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,48 0,43–2,52 0,16–2,79 | 1,90 0,77–3,03 0,48–3,32 | 3,38 1,20–5,55 0,64–6,11 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,50 2,06–4,93 1,67–5,32 | 2,96 1,40–4,51 0,98–4,94 | 6,45 3,46–9,45 2,65–10,26 | 50% 16% 34% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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