Bundesliga·Etapa 32·
Bundesliga·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,963,49sigur0,56–2,501,10–2,811,67–5,31mai sigur0,31–2,750,88–3,041,19–5,79
Șuturi pe poartă
27%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,766,2911,04sigur2,89–6,624,54–8,037,44–14,65mai sigur2,40–7,114,08–8,496,48–15,60
Total șuturi
24%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2717,7232,00sigur10,35–18,2014,16–21,2824,51–39,48mai sigur9,26–19,2913,20–22,2422,46–41,53
Șuturi din careu
25%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,0711,6820,75sigur6,13–12,019,00–14,3615,13–26,37mai sigur5,30–12,848,26–15,1013,56–27,94
Șuturi blocate
29%
13%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,644,738,37sigur1,76–5,523,07–6,384,83–11,90mai sigur1,22–6,072,58–6,873,80–12,94
Cornere
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,925,8110,72sigur2,70–7,133,81–7,816,51–14,94mai sigur2,13–7,703,27–8,345,40–16,04
Posesie %
55%
40%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,1949,09sigur45,40–58,9842,31–55,88mai sigur43,73–60,6540,63–57,55
Pase
56%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție469451920sigur401–536385–518786–1053mai sigur383–554367–535750–1089
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,6974,68sigur64,66–72,7270,35–79,00mai sigur63,37–74,0169,04–80,31
Faulturi
20%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0013,4923,49sigur7,16–12,8410,55–16,4417,71–29,27mai sigur6,41–13,609,80–17,1816,21–30,78
Ofsaiduri
24%
20%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,512,333,83sigur0,34–2,671,23–3,421,58–6,09mai sigur0,04–2,970,95–3,710,99–6,68
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,572,163,73sigur0,52–2,621,03–3,291,55–5,91mai sigur0,25–2,880,74–3,580,99–6,47
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
54%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,853,076,92sigur2,41–5,291,51–4,633,93–9,91mai sigur2,03–5,671,09–5,053,12–10,73
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,53 0,56–2,50 0,31–2,75 | 1,96 1,10–2,81 0,88–3,04 | 3,49 1,67–5,31 1,19–5,79 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,76 2,89–6,62 2,40–7,11 | 6,29 4,54–8,03 4,08–8,49 | 11,04 7,44–14,65 6,48–15,60 | 27% 62% |
| Total șuturi | 14,27 10,35–18,20 9,26–19,29 | 17,72 14,16–21,28 13,20–22,24 | 32,00 24,51–39,48 22,46–41,53 | 24% 70% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,07 6,13–12,01 5,30–12,84 | 11,68 9,00–14,36 8,26–15,10 | 20,75 15,13–26,37 13,56–27,94 | 25% 68% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,64 1,76–5,52 1,22–6,07 | 4,73 3,07–6,38 2,58–6,87 | 8,37 4,83–11,90 3,80–12,94 | 29% 13% 58% |
| Cornere | 4,92 2,70–7,13 2,13–7,70 | 5,81 3,81–7,81 3,27–8,34 | 10,72 6,51–14,94 5,40–16,04 | 33% 55% |
| Posesie % | 52,19 45,40–58,98 43,73–60,65 | 49,09 42,31–55,88 40,63–57,55 | — | 55% 40% |
| Pase | 469 401–536 383–554 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 56% 44% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,69 64,66–72,72 63,37–74,01 | 74,68 70,35–79,00 69,04–80,31 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 10,00 7,16–12,84 6,41–13,60 | 13,49 10,55–16,44 9,80–17,18 | 23,49 17,71–29,27 16,21–30,78 | 20% 73% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,51 0,34–2,67 0,04–2,97 | 2,33 1,23–3,42 0,95–3,71 | 3,83 1,58–6,09 0,99–6,68 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,57 0,52–2,62 0,25–2,88 | 2,16 1,03–3,29 0,74–3,58 | 3,73 1,55–5,91 0,99–6,47 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,85 2,41–5,29 2,03–5,67 | 3,07 1,51–4,63 1,09–5,05 | 6,92 3,93–9,91 3,12–10,73 | 54% 15% 31% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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