Bundesliga·Etapa 33·
Bundesliga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,593,11sigur0,55–2,490,74–2,451,29–4,93mai sigur0,30–2,740,51–2,670,81–5,41
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,135,3110,43sigur3,26–6,993,56–7,056,83–14,04mai sigur2,77–7,483,10–7,515,87–14,99
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,3213,8330,14sigur12,39–20,2410,27–17,3922,66–37,63mai sigur11,30–21,339,31–18,3520,61–39,68
Șuturi din careu
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,449,2119,65sigur7,50–13,396,53–11,8914,03–25,28mai sigur6,67–14,225,79–12,6312,46–26,84
Șuturi blocate
54%
13%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,673,878,55sigur2,79–6,552,22–5,535,01–12,08mai sigur2,25–7,101,73–6,023,98–13,12
Cornere
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,874,7910,66sigur3,66–8,082,79–6,796,45–14,87mai sigur3,08–8,662,26–7,335,34–15,98
Posesie %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,4848,60sigur43,69–57,2741,82–55,39mai sigur42,02–58,9440,15–57,06
Pase
59%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție461434895sigur394–528368–501762–1029mai sigur376–546350–518726–1065
Precizie pase %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,5870,93sigur64,55–72,6166,61–75,26mai sigur63,26–73,9065,30–76,57
Faulturi
48%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9211,6223,54sigur9,08–14,758,68–14,5717,76–29,32mai sigur8,32–15,517,93–15,3216,25–30,83
Ofsaiduri
52%
22%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,001,353,35sigur0,84–3,160,26–2,451,10–5,60mai sigur0,54–3,460,00–2,730,51–6,19
Cartonașe galbene
35%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,763,33sigur0,52–2,620,63–2,891,15–5,51mai sigur0,25–2,880,34–3,180,59–6,07
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
36%
15%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,303,787,08sigur1,87–4,742,22–5,334,09–10,08mai sigur1,48–5,131,80–5,763,28–10,89
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,52 0,55–2,49 0,30–2,74 | 1,59 0,74–2,45 0,51–2,67 | 3,11 1,29–4,93 0,81–5,41 | 37% 24% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,13 3,26–6,99 2,77–7,48 | 5,31 3,56–7,05 3,10–7,51 | 10,43 6,83–14,04 5,87–14,99 | 42% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 16,32 12,39–20,24 11,30–21,33 | 13,83 10,27–17,39 9,31–18,35 | 30,14 22,66–37,63 20,61–39,68 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,44 7,50–13,39 6,67–14,22 | 9,21 6,53–11,89 5,79–12,63 | 19,65 14,03–25,28 12,46–26,84 | 57% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,67 2,79–6,55 2,25–7,10 | 3,87 2,22–5,53 1,73–6,02 | 8,55 5,01–12,08 3,98–13,12 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,87 3,66–8,08 3,08–8,66 | 4,79 2,79–6,79 2,26–7,33 | 10,66 6,45–14,87 5,34–15,98 | 57% 31% |
| Posesie % | 50,48 43,69–57,27 42,02–58,94 | 48,60 41,82–55,39 40,15–57,06 | — | 52% 43% |
| Pase | 461 394–528 376–546 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 59% 41% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,58 64,55–72,61 63,26–73,90 | 70,93 66,61–75,26 65,30–76,57 | — | 36% 59% |
| Faulturi | 11,92 9,08–14,75 8,32–15,51 | 11,62 8,68–14,57 7,93–15,32 | 23,54 17,76–29,32 16,25–30,83 | 48% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,00 0,84–3,16 0,54–3,46 | 1,35 0,26–2,45 0,00–2,73 | 3,35 1,10–5,60 0,51–6,19 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,57 0,52–2,62 0,25–2,88 | 1,76 0,63–2,89 0,34–3,18 | 3,33 1,15–5,51 0,59–6,07 | 35% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,30 1,87–4,74 1,48–5,13 | 3,78 2,22–5,33 1,80–5,76 | 7,08 4,09–10,08 3,28–10,89 | 36% 15% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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