Bundesliga·Etapa 33·
Bundesliga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
62%
19%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,261,183,44sigur1,29–3,230,32–2,031,62–5,26mai sigur1,04–3,480,10–2,261,14–5,74
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,243,9710,21sigur4,38–8,102,23–5,726,61–13,82mai sigur3,89–8,591,77–6,185,65–14,77
Total șuturi
82%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,3411,1427,48sigur12,42–20,277,57–14,7019,99–34,97mai sigur11,33–21,366,61–15,6617,94–37,02
Șuturi din careu
78%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,517,7119,23sigur8,57–14,465,03–10,3913,60–24,85mai sigur7,74–15,294,29–11,1312,04–26,42
Șuturi blocate
60%
13%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,493,257,74sigur2,60–6,371,60–4,914,20–11,28mai sigur2,06–6,911,11–5,403,17–12,31
Cornere
69%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,174,0610,23sigur3,95–8,382,06–6,066,02–14,44mai sigur3,38–8,961,53–6,604,91–15,55
Posesie %
80%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,6142,09sigur50,82–64,4035,31–48,88mai sigur49,15–66,0733,64–50,55
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție569400969sigur502–636333–466835–1103mai sigur484–655316–484800–1138
Precizie pase %
65%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,5169,94sigur69,48–77,5465,62–74,26mai sigur68,19–78,8464,31–75,57
Faulturi
50%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8910,3421,23sigur8,06–13,737,39–13,2815,45–27,01mai sigur7,30–14,496,64–14,0313,94–28,51
Ofsaiduri
56%
20%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,281,453,73sigur1,12–3,440,36–2,541,48–5,99mai sigur0,82–3,740,07–2,830,89–6,58
Cartonașe galbene
33%
25%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,301,512,80sigur0,25–2,340,38–2,640,62–4,98mai sigur0,00–2,610,09–2,930,07–5,54
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,270,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
26%
14%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,773,946,71sigur1,33–4,202,38–5,503,72–9,70mai sigur0,94–4,591,96–5,922,90–10,51
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,26 1,29–3,23 1,04–3,48 | 1,18 0,32–2,03 0,10–2,26 | 3,44 1,62–5,26 1,14–5,74 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,24 4,38–8,10 3,89–8,59 | 3,97 2,23–5,72 1,77–6,18 | 10,21 6,61–13,82 5,65–14,77 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 16,34 12,42–20,27 11,33–21,36 | 11,14 7,57–14,70 6,61–15,66 | 27,48 19,99–34,97 17,94–37,02 | 82% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,51 8,57–14,46 7,74–15,29 | 7,71 5,03–10,39 4,29–11,13 | 19,23 13,60–24,85 12,04–26,42 | 78% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,49 2,60–6,37 2,06–6,91 | 3,25 1,60–4,91 1,11–5,40 | 7,74 4,20–11,28 3,17–12,31 | 60% 13% 26% |
| Cornere | 6,17 3,95–8,38 3,38–8,96 | 4,06 2,06–6,06 1,53–6,60 | 10,23 6,02–14,44 4,91–15,55 | 69% 21% |
| Posesie % | 57,61 50,82–64,40 49,15–66,07 | 42,09 35,31–48,88 33,64–50,55 | — | 80% 16% |
| Pase | 569 502–636 484–655 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 969 835–1103 800–1138 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,51 69,48–77,54 68,19–78,84 | 69,94 65,62–74,26 64,31–75,57 | — | 65% 30% |
| Faulturi | 10,89 8,06–13,73 7,30–14,49 | 10,34 7,39–13,28 6,64–14,03 | 21,23 15,45–27,01 13,94–28,51 | 50% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,28 1,12–3,44 0,82–3,74 | 1,45 0,36–2,54 0,07–2,83 | 3,73 1,48–5,99 0,89–6,58 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,30 0,25–2,34 0,00–2,61 | 1,51 0,38–2,64 0,09–2,93 | 2,80 0,62–4,98 0,07–5,54 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,77 1,33–4,20 0,94–4,59 | 3,94 2,38–5,50 1,96–5,92 | 6,71 3,72–9,70 2,90–10,51 | 26% 14% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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