Bundesliga·Etapa 33·
Bundesliga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
57%
20%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,271,413,68sigur1,30–3,240,56–2,271,86–5,51mai sigur1,05–3,490,33–2,501,38–5,99
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,534,8611,38sigur4,66–8,393,11–6,607,78–14,99mai sigur4,17–8,882,65–7,066,82–15,94
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,2613,2831,54sigur14,34–22,199,72–16,8424,06–39,03mai sigur13,25–23,288,76–17,8022,01–41,08
Șuturi din careu
71%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,249,2221,46sigur9,30–15,186,54–11,9015,84–27,08mai sigur8,47–16,015,80–12,6414,27–28,65
Șuturi blocate
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,584,198,77sigur2,70–6,462,53–5,845,23–12,30mai sigur2,16–7,012,04–6,334,20–13,34
Cornere
68%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,504,4310,93sigur4,28–8,712,43–6,436,71–15,14mai sigur3,71–9,281,90–6,975,61–16,25
Posesie %
64%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,0947,12sigur47,30–60,8840,33–53,90mai sigur45,63–62,5538,66–55,57
Pase
75%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție538456993sigur470–605389–522859–1127mai sigur452–623372–540824–1162
Precizie pase %
42%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,2774,24sigur69,24–77,3069,91–78,56mai sigur67,95–78,5968,60–79,87
Faulturi
48%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9710,6621,63sigur8,13–13,817,71–13,6015,85–27,41mai sigur7,38–14,566,97–14,3514,34–28,91
Ofsaiduri
70%
15%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,951,354,31sigur1,79–4,110,26–2,452,05–6,56mai sigur1,49–4,420,00–2,731,46–7,15
Cartonașe galbene
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,893,37sigur0,44–2,530,76–3,011,19–5,55mai sigur0,17–2,800,47–3,310,63–6,11
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
33%
15%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,213,837,03sigur1,77–4,642,27–5,384,04–10,03mai sigur1,38–5,031,85–5,813,23–10,84
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,27 1,30–3,24 1,05–3,49 | 1,41 0,56–2,27 0,33–2,50 | 3,68 1,86–5,51 1,38–5,99 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,53 4,66–8,39 4,17–8,88 | 4,86 3,11–6,60 2,65–7,06 | 11,38 7,78–14,99 6,82–15,94 | 64% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 18,26 14,34–22,19 13,25–23,28 | 13,28 9,72–16,84 8,76–17,80 | 31,54 24,06–39,03 22,01–41,08 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,24 9,30–15,18 8,47–16,01 | 9,22 6,54–11,90 5,80–12,64 | 21,46 15,84–27,08 14,27–28,65 | 71% 22% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,58 2,70–6,46 2,16–7,01 | 4,19 2,53–5,84 2,04–6,33 | 8,77 5,23–12,30 4,20–13,34 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Cornere | 6,50 4,28–8,71 3,71–9,28 | 4,43 2,43–6,43 1,90–6,97 | 10,93 6,71–15,14 5,61–16,25 | 68% 22% |
| Posesie % | 54,09 47,30–60,88 45,63–62,55 | 47,12 40,33–53,90 38,66–55,57 | — | 64% 32% |
| Pase | 538 470–605 452–623 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 993 859–1127 824–1162 | 75% 25% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,27 69,24–77,30 67,95–78,59 | 74,24 69,91–78,56 68,60–79,87 | — | 42% 52% |
| Faulturi | 10,97 8,13–13,81 7,38–14,56 | 10,66 7,71–13,60 6,97–14,35 | 21,63 15,85–27,41 14,34–28,91 | 48% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,95 1,79–4,11 1,49–4,42 | 1,35 0,26–2,45 0,00–2,73 | 4,31 2,05–6,56 1,46–7,15 | 70% 15% 15% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,48 0,44–2,53 0,17–2,80 | 1,89 0,76–3,01 0,47–3,31 | 3,37 1,19–5,55 0,63–6,11 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,21 1,77–4,64 1,38–5,03 | 3,83 2,27–5,38 1,85–5,81 | 7,03 4,04–10,03 3,23–10,84 | 33% 15% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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