Bundesliga·Etapa 33·
Bundesliga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,523,02sigur0,54–2,470,66–2,371,20–4,84mai sigur0,28–2,720,43–2,600,72–5,32
Șuturi pe poartă
53%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,174,459,62sigur3,30–7,032,71–6,196,01–13,22mai sigur2,81–7,522,24–6,665,06–14,18
Total șuturi
70%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,6112,3827,99sigur11,69–19,548,81–15,9420,50–35,48mai sigur10,60–20,637,86–16,9018,45–37,53
Șuturi din careu
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,318,9619,27sigur7,36–13,256,28–11,6413,64–24,89mai sigur6,54–14,085,54–12,3812,08–26,46
Șuturi blocate
54%
13%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,673,838,50sigur2,79–6,552,18–5,484,96–12,03mai sigur2,24–7,091,69–5,983,93–13,07
Cornere
51%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,564,9910,55sigur3,34–7,772,99–6,996,34–14,76mai sigur2,77–8,352,46–7,525,23–15,87
Posesie %
72%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,8045,13sigur49,01–62,5938,35–51,92mai sigur47,34–64,2636,68–53,59
Pase
79%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție474378852sigur406–541312–445718–986mai sigur388–559294–462683–1021
Precizie pase %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,8069,74sigur65,77–73,8265,42–74,07mai sigur64,47–75,1264,11–75,38
Faulturi
47%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7611,5723,33sigur8,92–14,598,63–14,5217,55–29,11mai sigur8,16–15,357,88–15,2716,04–30,62
Ofsaiduri
43%
23%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,543,29sigur0,59–2,910,45–2,631,03–5,54mai sigur0,28–3,210,16–2,920,44–6,13
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,973,70sigur0,69–2,790,84–3,101,53–5,88mai sigur0,42–3,050,55–3,390,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
33%
16%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,833,396,21sigur1,39–4,261,83–4,943,22–9,20mai sigur1,00–4,651,40–5,372,41–10,02
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,50 0,54–2,47 0,28–2,72 | 1,52 0,66–2,37 0,43–2,60 | 3,02 1,20–4,84 0,72–5,32 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,17 3,30–7,03 2,81–7,52 | 4,45 2,71–6,19 2,24–6,66 | 9,62 6,01–13,22 5,06–14,18 | 53% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 15,61 11,69–19,54 10,60–20,63 | 12,38 8,81–15,94 7,86–16,90 | 27,99 20,50–35,48 18,45–37,53 | 70% 24% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,31 7,36–13,25 6,54–14,08 | 8,96 6,28–11,64 5,54–12,38 | 19,27 13,64–24,89 12,08–26,46 | 58% 34% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,67 2,79–6,55 2,24–7,09 | 3,83 2,18–5,48 1,69–5,98 | 8,50 4,96–12,03 3,93–13,07 | 54% 13% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,56 3,34–7,77 2,77–8,35 | 4,99 2,99–6,99 2,46–7,52 | 10,55 6,34–14,76 5,23–15,87 | 51% 37% |
| Posesie % | 55,80 49,01–62,59 47,34–64,26 | 45,13 38,35–51,92 36,68–53,59 | — | 72% 25% |
| Pase | 474 406–541 388–559 | 378 312–445 294–462 | 852 718–986 683–1021 | 79% 21% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,80 65,77–73,82 64,47–75,12 | 69,74 65,42–74,07 64,11–75,38 | — | 48% 47% |
| Faulturi | 11,76 8,92–14,59 8,16–15,35 | 11,57 8,63–14,52 7,88–15,27 | 23,33 17,55–29,11 16,04–30,62 | 47% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,75 0,59–2,91 0,28–3,21 | 1,54 0,45–2,63 0,16–2,92 | 3,29 1,03–5,54 0,44–6,13 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,74 0,69–2,79 0,42–3,05 | 1,97 0,84–3,10 0,55–3,39 | 3,70 1,53–5,88 0,97–6,44 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,83 1,39–4,26 1,00–4,65 | 3,39 1,83–4,94 1,40–5,37 | 6,21 3,22–9,20 2,41–10,02 | 33% 16% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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