Bundesliga·Etapa 33·
Bundesliga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
18%
20%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,072,143,22sigur0,11–2,041,29–3,001,39–5,04mai sigur0,00–2,291,06–3,220,91–5,52
Șuturi pe poartă
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,945,769,70sigur2,08–5,804,01–7,506,09–13,30mai sigur1,59–6,293,55–7,975,14–14,26
Total șuturi
22%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2315,8028,03sigur8,31–16,1612,23–19,3620,54–35,52mai sigur7,22–17,2511,27–20,3218,49–37,57
Șuturi din careu
16%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,1010,7017,81sigur4,16–10,058,02–13,3812,18–23,43mai sigur3,33–10,887,28–14,1210,62–25,00
Șuturi blocate
24%
13%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,944,297,24sigur1,06–4,832,64–5,953,70–10,77mai sigur0,52–5,372,15–6,442,66–11,81
Cornere
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,925,749,66sigur1,71–6,143,74–7,745,45–13,88mai sigur1,14–6,713,21–8,284,34–14,99
Posesie %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție36,9463,63sigur30,15–43,7356,84–70,41mai sigur28,48–45,4055,17–72,08
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3746431017sigur307–442576–709883–1151mai sigur289–460559–727848–1187
Precizie pase %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,0284,31sigur68,99–77,0579,99–88,64mai sigur67,70–78,3478,68–89,95
Faulturi
63%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3210,2222,54sigur9,49–15,167,27–13,1616,76–28,32mai sigur8,73–15,926,52–13,9115,25–29,83
Ofsaiduri
48%
20%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,281,874,15sigur1,12–3,440,78–2,971,90–6,40mai sigur0,82–3,740,49–3,251,31–6,99
Cartonașe galbene
44%
21%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,021,803,81sigur0,97–3,070,67–2,931,64–5,99mai sigur0,70–3,330,38–3,221,08–6,55
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,080,18sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,400,00–0,81
Parade portar
61%
15%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,632,466,09sigur2,20–5,070,90–4,023,10–9,09mai sigur1,81–5,460,48–4,442,29–9,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,07 0,11–2,04 0,00–2,29 | 2,14 1,29–3,00 1,06–3,22 | 3,22 1,39–5,04 0,91–5,52 | 18% 20% 62% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,94 2,08–5,80 1,59–6,29 | 5,76 4,01–7,50 3,55–7,97 | 9,70 6,09–13,30 5,14–14,26 | 23% 66% |
| Total șuturi | 12,23 8,31–16,16 7,22–17,25 | 15,80 12,23–19,36 11,27–20,32 | 28,03 20,54–35,52 18,49–37,57 | 22% 72% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,10 4,16–10,05 3,33–10,88 | 10,70 8,02–13,38 7,28–14,12 | 17,81 12,18–23,43 10,62–25,00 | 16% 77% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,94 1,06–4,83 0,52–5,37 | 4,29 2,64–5,95 2,15–6,44 | 7,24 3,70–10,77 2,66–11,81 | 24% 13% 62% |
| Cornere | 3,92 1,71–6,14 1,14–6,71 | 5,74 3,74–7,74 3,21–8,28 | 9,66 5,45–13,88 4,34–14,99 | 23% 66% |
| Posesie % | 36,94 30,15–43,73 28,48–45,40 | 63,63 56,84–70,41 55,17–72,08 | — | 94% |
| Pase | 374 307–442 289–460 | 643 576–709 559–727 | 1017 883–1151 848–1187 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,02 68,99–77,05 67,70–78,34 | 84,31 79,99–88,64 78,68–89,95 | — | 92% |
| Faulturi | 12,32 9,49–15,16 8,73–15,92 | 10,22 7,27–13,16 6,52–13,91 | 22,54 16,76–28,32 15,25–29,83 | 63% 29% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,28 1,12–3,44 0,82–3,74 | 1,87 0,78–2,97 0,49–3,25 | 4,15 1,90–6,40 1,31–6,99 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,02 0,97–3,07 0,70–3,33 | 1,80 0,67–2,93 0,38–3,22 | 3,81 1,64–5,99 1,08–6,55 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,63 2,20–5,07 1,81–5,46 | 2,46 0,90–4,02 0,48–4,44 | 6,09 3,10–9,09 2,29–9,90 | 61% 15% 25% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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