Bundesliga·Etapa 34·
Bundesliga·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,883,36sigur0,52–2,451,02–2,731,54–5,18mai sigur0,26–2,700,80–2,961,06–5,66
Șuturi pe poartă
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,835,069,90sigur2,97–6,703,32–6,816,29–13,50mai sigur2,48–7,192,85–7,275,34–14,46
Total șuturi
55%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9112,7726,68sigur9,98–17,839,20–16,3319,19–34,16mai sigur8,89–18,928,25–17,2917,14–36,21
Șuturi din careu
44%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,899,0717,96sigur5,95–11,836,39–11,7512,33–23,58mai sigur5,12–12,665,65–12,4810,77–25,15
Șuturi blocate
39%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,834,077,90sigur1,95–5,712,41–5,724,36–11,43mai sigur1,40–6,251,92–6,213,33–12,47
Cornere
43%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,944,959,89sigur2,73–7,152,95–6,955,68–14,10mai sigur2,15–7,732,42–7,484,57–15,21
Posesie %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,6054,56sigur38,81–52,3947,78–61,35mai sigur37,14–54,0646,11–63,02
Pase
27%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție432506937sigur364–499439–572803–1071mai sigur346–517422–590768–1106
Precizie pase %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,9976,33sigur66,96–75,0272,01–80,66mai sigur65,66–76,3170,70–81,97
Faulturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6712,7322,41sigur6,84–12,519,79–15,6816,63–28,19mai sigur6,08–13,279,04–16,4315,12–29,69
Ofsaiduri
46%
22%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,643,60sigur0,81–3,130,54–2,731,35–5,86mai sigur0,50–3,430,26–3,020,76–6,45
Cartonașe galbene
26%
22%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,943,27sigur0,28–2,380,81–3,071,09–5,45mai sigur0,02–2,650,52–3,360,53–6,00
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
42%
17%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,063,016,07sigur1,62–4,491,45–4,573,07–9,06mai sigur1,23–4,881,03–4,992,26–9,87
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,48 0,52–2,45 0,26–2,70 | 1,88 1,02–2,73 0,80–2,96 | 3,36 1,54–5,18 1,06–5,66 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,83 2,97–6,70 2,48–7,19 | 5,06 3,32–6,81 2,85–7,27 | 9,90 6,29–13,50 5,34–14,46 | 41% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 13,91 9,98–17,83 8,89–18,92 | 12,77 9,20–16,33 8,25–17,29 | 26,68 19,19–34,16 17,14–36,21 | 55% 38% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,89 5,95–11,83 5,12–12,66 | 9,07 6,39–11,75 5,65–12,48 | 17,96 12,33–23,58 10,77–25,15 | 44% 47% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,83 1,95–5,71 1,40–6,25 | 4,07 2,41–5,72 1,92–6,21 | 7,90 4,36–11,43 3,33–12,47 | 39% 14% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,94 2,73–7,15 2,15–7,73 | 4,95 2,95–6,95 2,42–7,48 | 9,89 5,68–14,10 4,57–15,21 | 43% 44% |
| Posesie % | 45,60 38,81–52,39 37,14–54,06 | 54,56 47,78–61,35 46,11–63,02 | — | 28% 68% |
| Pase | 432 364–499 346–517 | 506 439–572 422–590 | 937 803–1071 768–1106 | 27% 73% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,99 66,96–75,02 65,66–76,31 | 76,33 72,01–80,66 70,70–81,97 | — | 23% 73% |
| Faulturi | 9,67 6,84–12,51 6,08–13,27 | 12,73 9,79–15,68 9,04–16,43 | 22,41 16,63–28,19 15,12–29,69 | 23% 71% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,97 0,81–3,13 0,50–3,43 | 1,64 0,54–2,73 0,26–3,02 | 3,60 1,35–5,86 0,76–6,45 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,33 0,28–2,38 0,02–2,65 | 1,94 0,81–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 3,27 1,09–5,45 0,53–6,00 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,06 1,62–4,49 1,23–4,88 | 3,01 1,45–4,57 1,03–4,99 | 6,07 3,07–9,06 2,26–9,87 | 42% 17% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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