Bundesliga·Etapa 34·
Bundesliga·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,893,46sigur0,60–2,541,04–2,741,64–5,28mai sigur0,35–2,790,81–2,971,16–5,76
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,156,0311,18sigur3,29–7,014,29–7,777,57–14,79mai sigur2,80–7,503,82–8,246,62–15,74
Total șuturi
31%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0516,2230,27sigur10,13–17,9812,65–19,7822,78–37,76mai sigur9,04–19,0711,69–20,7420,73–39,81
Șuturi din careu
27%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,0811,2920,38sigur6,14–12,038,61–13,9714,75–26,00mai sigur5,31–12,867,87–14,7113,19–27,57
Șuturi blocate
33%
14%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,614,337,94sigur1,73–5,492,68–5,984,40–11,47mai sigur1,18–6,032,18–6,473,37–12,51
Cornere
31%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,655,6910,34sigur2,43–6,863,69–7,696,12–14,55mai sigur1,86–7,433,16–8,225,02–15,66
Posesie %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,0452,63sigur41,25–54,8345,85–59,41mai sigur39,58–56,5044,17–61,09
Pase
41%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție409436845sigur342–476369–502711–978mai sigur324–494352–520675–1014
Precizie pase %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,6372,08sigur62,60–70,6667,76–76,40mai sigur61,31–71,9566,45–77,71
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8912,2423,12sigur8,05–13,729,29–15,1817,34–28,91mai sigur7,29–14,488,54–15,9315,84–30,41
Ofsaiduri
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,983,55sigur0,41–2,730,89–3,071,30–5,80mai sigur0,11–3,030,60–3,360,71–6,39
Cartonașe galbene
46%
22%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,643,59sigur0,91–3,000,51–2,761,41–5,77mai sigur0,64–3,270,22–3,060,85–6,33
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,120,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,440,00–0,84
Parade portar
44%
16%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,433,286,71sigur1,99–4,861,73–4,843,72–9,70mai sigur1,60–5,251,30–5,262,91–10,51
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,57 0,60–2,54 0,35–2,79 | 1,89 1,04–2,74 0,81–2,97 | 3,46 1,64–5,28 1,16–5,76 | 32% 22% 45% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,15 3,29–7,01 2,80–7,50 | 6,03 4,29–7,77 3,82–8,24 | 11,18 7,57–14,79 6,62–15,74 | 34% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 14,05 10,13–17,98 9,04–19,07 | 16,22 12,65–19,78 11,69–20,74 | 30,27 22,78–37,76 20,73–39,81 | 31% 62% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,08 6,14–12,03 5,31–12,86 | 11,29 8,61–13,97 7,87–14,71 | 20,38 14,75–26,00 13,19–27,57 | 27% 65% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,61 1,73–5,49 1,18–6,03 | 4,33 2,68–5,98 2,18–6,47 | 7,94 4,40–11,47 3,37–12,51 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Cornere | 4,65 2,43–6,86 1,86–7,43 | 5,69 3,69–7,69 3,16–8,22 | 10,34 6,12–14,55 5,02–15,66 | 31% 57% |
| Posesie % | 48,04 41,25–54,83 39,58–56,50 | 52,63 45,85–59,41 44,17–61,09 | — | 37% 58% |
| Pase | 409 342–476 324–494 | 436 369–502 352–520 | 845 711–978 675–1014 | 41% 59% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,63 62,60–70,66 61,31–71,95 | 72,08 67,76–76,40 66,45–77,71 | — | 22% 74% |
| Faulturi | 10,89 8,05–13,72 7,29–14,48 | 12,24 9,29–15,18 8,54–15,93 | 23,12 17,34–28,91 15,84–30,41 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,57 0,41–2,73 0,11–3,03 | 1,98 0,89–3,07 0,60–3,36 | 3,55 1,30–5,80 0,71–6,39 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,96 0,91–3,00 0,64–3,27 | 1,64 0,51–2,76 0,22–3,06 | 3,59 1,41–5,77 0,85–6,33 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,43 1,99–4,86 1,60–5,25 | 3,28 1,73–4,84 1,30–5,26 | 6,71 3,72–9,70 2,91–10,51 | 44% 16% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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