Bundesliga·Etapa 34·
Bundesliga·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
21%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,283,34sigur1,09–3,030,43–2,131,52–5,17mai sigur0,84–3,280,20–2,361,04–5,65
Șuturi pe poartă
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,314,1310,44sigur4,45–8,172,39–5,876,83–14,04mai sigur3,96–8,661,92–6,345,88–15,00
Total șuturi
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,1012,3631,46sigur15,18–23,038,79–15,9223,97–38,94mai sigur14,08–24,127,83–16,8821,92–40,99
Șuturi din careu
76%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,998,2620,25sigur9,05–14,945,58–10,9414,63–25,88mai sigur8,22–15,774,84–11,6813,06–27,44
Șuturi blocate
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,143,708,83sigur3,25–7,022,04–5,355,30–12,37mai sigur2,71–7,561,55–5,844,26–13,40
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,264,5110,78sigur4,05–8,482,51–6,516,57–14,99mai sigur3,48–9,051,98–7,055,46–16,10
Posesie %
61%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,9747,09sigur46,18–59,7640,31–53,88mai sigur44,51–61,4338,63–55,55
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție513436949sigur445–580370–503815–1082mai sigur427–598352–520779–1118
Precizie pase %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,3172,36sigur66,28–74,3468,04–76,69mai sigur64,99–75,6466,73–78,00
Faulturi
38%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2511,1321,37sigur7,41–13,088,18–14,0715,59–27,15mai sigur6,65–13,847,43–14,8214,09–28,66
Ofsaiduri
53%
22%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,001,343,34sigur0,84–3,160,24–2,431,09–5,59mai sigur0,54–3,470,00–2,720,50–6,18
Cartonașe galbene
37%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,492,97sigur0,42–2,520,36–2,620,79–5,15mai sigur0,16–2,790,07–2,910,23–5,70
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
26%
14%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,854,046,89sigur1,41–4,282,48–5,603,90–9,88mai sigur1,02–4,672,06–6,023,08–10,69
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,06 1,09–3,03 0,84–3,28 | 1,28 0,43–2,13 0,20–2,36 | 3,34 1,52–5,17 1,04–5,65 | 55% 21% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,31 4,45–8,17 3,96–8,66 | 4,13 2,39–5,87 1,92–6,34 | 10,44 6,83–14,04 5,88–15,00 | 70% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 19,10 15,18–23,03 14,08–24,12 | 12,36 8,79–15,92 7,83–16,88 | 31,46 23,97–38,94 21,92–40,99 | 87% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,99 9,05–14,94 8,22–15,77 | 8,26 5,58–10,94 4,84–11,68 | 20,25 14,63–25,88 13,06–27,44 | 76% 17% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,14 3,25–7,02 2,71–7,56 | 3,70 2,04–5,35 1,55–5,84 | 8,83 5,30–12,37 4,26–13,40 | 62% 26% |
| Cornere | 6,26 4,05–8,48 3,48–9,05 | 4,51 2,51–6,51 1,98–7,05 | 10,78 6,57–14,99 5,46–16,10 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 52,97 46,18–59,76 44,51–61,43 | 47,09 40,31–53,88 38,63–55,55 | — | 61% 34% |
| Pase | 513 445–580 427–598 | 436 370–503 352–520 | 949 815–1082 779–1118 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,31 66,28–74,34 64,99–75,64 | 72,36 68,04–76,69 66,73–78,00 | — | 37% 58% |
| Faulturi | 10,25 7,41–13,08 6,65–13,84 | 11,13 8,18–14,07 7,43–14,82 | 21,37 15,59–27,15 14,09–28,66 | 38% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,00 0,84–3,16 0,54–3,47 | 1,34 0,24–2,43 0,00–2,72 | 3,34 1,09–5,59 0,50–6,18 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,47 0,42–2,52 0,16–2,79 | 1,49 0,36–2,62 0,07–2,91 | 2,97 0,79–5,15 0,23–5,70 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,85 1,41–4,28 1,02–4,67 | 4,04 2,48–5,60 2,06–6,02 | 6,89 3,90–9,88 3,08–10,69 | 26% 14% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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