Bundesliga·Etapa 34·
Bundesliga·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,953,61sigur0,69–2,631,09–2,801,79–5,43mai sigur0,44–2,880,87–3,031,31–5,91
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,805,6410,44sigur2,94–6,663,90–7,396,84–14,05mai sigur2,45–7,153,43–7,855,88–15,00
Total șuturi
47%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,4515,3530,80sigur11,53–19,3811,79–18,9123,32–38,29mai sigur10,44–20,4710,83–19,8721,27–40,34
Șuturi din careu
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,1110,2319,35sigur6,17–12,067,55–12,9113,72–24,97mai sigur5,34–12,896,81–13,6512,16–26,54
Șuturi blocate
44%
14%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,074,018,08sigur2,18–5,952,36–5,674,54–11,61mai sigur1,64–6,491,87–6,163,51–12,65
Cornere
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,945,1510,09sigur2,72–7,153,15–7,155,88–14,31mai sigur2,15–7,722,62–7,694,77–15,41
Posesie %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,7049,30sigur44,91–58,5042,51–56,08mai sigur43,25–60,1640,84–57,75
Pase
55%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție502485987sigur434–569419–552853–1121mai sigur416–587401–569818–1156
Precizie pase %
31%
65%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,7175,14sigur67,68–75,7470,82–79,46mai sigur66,39–77,0469,51–80,77
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1311,4221,55sigur7,29–12,968,48–14,3615,76–27,33mai sigur6,53–13,727,73–15,1114,26–28,83
Ofsaiduri
22%
20%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,312,243,55sigur0,15–2,471,15–3,331,30–5,80mai sigur0,00–2,770,86–3,620,71–6,39
Cartonașe galbene
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,733,11sigur0,33–2,430,60–2,860,93–5,29mai sigur0,06–2,690,31–3,150,37–5,85
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
45%
16%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,513,306,81sigur2,08–4,951,74–4,863,82–9,80mai sigur1,69–5,341,32–5,283,01–10,62
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,66 0,69–2,63 0,44–2,88 | 1,95 1,09–2,80 0,87–3,03 | 3,61 1,79–5,43 1,31–5,91 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,80 2,94–6,66 2,45–7,15 | 5,64 3,90–7,39 3,43–7,85 | 10,44 6,84–14,05 5,88–15,00 | 34% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 15,45 11,53–19,38 10,44–20,47 | 15,35 11,79–18,91 10,83–19,87 | 30,80 23,32–38,29 21,27–40,34 | 47% 46% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,11 6,17–12,06 5,34–12,89 | 10,23 7,55–12,91 6,81–13,65 | 19,35 13,72–24,97 12,16–26,54 | 36% 56% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,07 2,18–5,95 1,64–6,49 | 4,01 2,36–5,67 1,87–6,16 | 8,08 4,54–11,61 3,51–12,65 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Cornere | 4,94 2,72–7,15 2,15–7,72 | 5,15 3,15–7,15 2,62–7,69 | 10,09 5,88–14,31 4,77–15,41 | 41% 46% |
| Posesie % | 51,70 44,91–58,50 43,25–60,16 | 49,30 42,51–56,08 40,84–57,75 | — | 53% 42% |
| Pase | 502 434–569 416–587 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 987 853–1121 818–1156 | 55% 44% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,71 67,68–75,74 66,39–77,04 | 75,14 70,82–79,46 69,51–80,77 | — | 31% 65% |
| Faulturi | 10,13 7,29–12,96 6,53–13,72 | 11,42 8,48–14,36 7,73–15,11 | 21,55 15,76–27,33 14,26–28,83 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,31 0,15–2,47 0,00–2,77 | 2,24 1,15–3,33 0,86–3,62 | 3,55 1,30–5,80 0,71–6,39 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,38 0,33–2,43 0,06–2,69 | 1,73 0,60–2,86 0,31–3,15 | 3,11 0,93–5,29 0,37–5,85 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,51 2,08–4,95 1,69–5,34 | 3,30 1,74–4,86 1,32–5,28 | 6,81 3,82–9,80 3,01–10,62 | 45% 16% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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