Primeira Liga·Etapa 8·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
18%
22%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,911,852,76sigur0,00–1,880,99–2,700,93–4,58mai sigur0,00–2,130,76–2,930,46–5,06
Șuturi pe poartă
17%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,225,498,71sigur1,36–5,083,75–7,235,10–12,31mai sigur0,87–5,573,28–7,704,15–13,27
Total șuturi
18%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0714,0624,13sigur6,14–13,9910,50–17,6216,64–31,62mai sigur5,05–15,099,54–18,5814,59–33,67
Șuturi din careu
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,739,7115,45sigur2,79–8,687,03–12,409,82–21,07mai sigur1,96–9,506,30–13,138,26–22,64
Șuturi blocate
22%
13%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,694,176,87sigur0,81–4,572,52–5,833,33–10,40mai sigur0,27–5,122,03–6,322,29–11,44
Cornere
29%
13%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,574,678,24sigur1,35–5,782,67–6,674,02–12,45mai sigur0,78–6,362,14–7,202,92–13,56
Posesie %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,9757,08sigur37,18–50,7650,29–63,86mai sigur35,51–52,4348,62–65,54
Pase
16%
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție435556991sigur368–503489–622858–1125mai sigur350–521472–640822–1161
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,1781,42sigur68,14–76,2077,10–85,75mai sigur66,85–77,4975,79–87,06
Faulturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9312,2625,19sigur10,09–15,779,32–15,2119,41–30,97mai sigur9,34–16,528,57–15,9517,90–32,48
Ofsaiduri
37%
24%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,553,07sigur0,36–2,680,46–2,650,82–5,32mai sigur0,06–2,980,17–2,930,23–5,91
Cartonașe galbene
54%
17%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,962,235,19sigur1,91–4,011,10–3,363,01–7,37mai sigur1,64–4,270,81–3,652,46–7,93
Cartonașe roșii
17%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,210,110,33sigur0,05–0,380,00–0,300,00–0,67mai sigur0,00–0,530,00–0,430,00–0,96
Parade portar
56%
16%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,272,405,67sigur1,83–4,710,85–3,962,68–8,67mai sigur1,45–5,090,42–4,381,87–9,48
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,91 0,00–1,88 0,00–2,13 | 1,85 0,99–2,70 0,76–2,93 | 2,76 0,93–4,58 0,46–5,06 | 18% 22% 59% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,22 1,36–5,08 0,87–5,57 | 5,49 3,75–7,23 3,28–7,70 | 8,71 5,10–12,31 4,15–13,27 | 17% 73% |
| Total șuturi | 10,07 6,14–13,99 5,05–15,09 | 14,06 10,50–17,62 9,54–18,58 | 24,13 16,64–31,62 14,59–33,67 | 18% 76% |
| Șuturi din careu | 5,73 2,79–8,68 1,96–9,50 | 9,71 7,03–12,40 6,30–13,13 | 15,45 9,82–21,07 8,26–22,64 | 81% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,69 0,81–4,57 0,27–5,12 | 4,17 2,52–5,83 2,03–6,32 | 6,87 3,33–10,40 2,29–11,44 | 22% 13% 64% |
| Cornere | 3,57 1,35–5,78 0,78–6,36 | 4,67 2,67–6,67 2,14–7,20 | 8,24 4,02–12,45 2,92–13,56 | 29% 13% 58% |
| Posesie % | 43,97 37,18–50,76 35,51–52,43 | 57,08 50,29–63,86 48,62–65,54 | — | 20% 76% |
| Pase | 435 368–503 350–521 | 556 489–622 472–640 | 991 858–1125 822–1161 | 16% 84% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,17 68,14–76,20 66,85–77,49 | 81,42 77,10–85,75 75,79–87,06 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 12,93 10,09–15,77 9,34–16,52 | 12,26 9,32–15,21 8,57–15,95 | 25,19 19,41–30,97 17,90–32,48 | 51% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,52 0,36–2,68 0,06–2,98 | 1,55 0,46–2,65 0,17–2,93 | 3,07 0,82–5,32 0,23–5,91 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,96 1,91–4,01 1,64–4,27 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 5,19 3,01–7,37 2,46–7,93 | 54% 17% 29% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,21 0,05–0,38 0,00–0,53 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,33 0,00–0,67 0,00–0,96 | 17% 74% |
| Parade portar | 3,27 1,83–4,71 1,45–5,09 | 2,40 0,85–3,96 0,42–4,38 | 5,67 2,68–8,67 1,87–9,48 | 56% 16% 28% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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