Primeira Liga·Etapa 10·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
27%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,071,402,48sigur0,11–2,040,55–2,260,65–4,30mai sigur0,00–2,290,32–2,480,17–4,78
Șuturi pe poartă
32%
14%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,604,418,01sigur1,73–5,462,67–6,154,40–11,61mai sigur1,24–5,952,20–6,623,45–12,57
Total șuturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7312,2724,00sigur7,80–15,658,71–15,8416,51–31,49mai sigur6,71–16,747,75–16,7914,46–33,54
Șuturi din careu
30%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,828,3915,21sigur3,88–9,765,71–11,079,59–20,84mai sigur3,05–10,594,97–11,818,02–22,40
Șuturi blocate
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,083,166,24sigur1,20–4,961,50–4,812,70–9,77mai sigur0,66–5,511,01–5,301,67–10,81
Cornere
35%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,435,089,51sigur2,22–6,643,08–7,085,29–13,72mai sigur1,64–7,222,54–7,614,19–14,83
Posesie %
45%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,6850,92sigur42,89–56,4744,13–57,70mai sigur41,22–58,1442,46–59,38
Pase
53%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție397387783sigur330–464320–453650–917mai sigur311–482303–471614–953
Precizie pase %
28%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,8069,80sigur61,77–69,8365,47–74,12mai sigur60,48–71,1264,16–75,43
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5514,9829,53sigur11,71–17,3912,03–17,9223,75–35,31mai sigur10,96–18,1511,28–18,6722,24–36,82
Ofsaiduri
28%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,913,28sigur0,21–2,530,81–3,001,03–5,54mai sigur0,00–2,840,53–3,290,44–6,13
Cartonașe galbene
41%
17%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,742,755,49sigur1,69–3,791,62–3,883,31–7,67mai sigur1,42–4,051,33–4,172,76–8,23
Cartonașe roșii
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,140,28sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,330,00–0,62mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,460,00–0,91
Parade portar
47%
17%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,872,525,39sigur1,44–4,310,96–4,072,40–8,38mai sigur1,05–4,700,54–4,501,59–9,20
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,07 0,11–2,04 0,00–2,29 | 1,40 0,55–2,26 0,32–2,48 | 2,48 0,65–4,30 0,17–4,78 | 29% 27% 44% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,60 1,73–5,46 1,24–5,95 | 4,41 2,67–6,15 2,20–6,62 | 8,01 4,40–11,61 3,45–12,57 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 11,73 7,80–15,65 6,71–16,74 | 12,27 8,71–15,84 7,75–16,79 | 24,00 16,51–31,49 14,46–33,54 | 42% 50% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,82 3,88–9,76 3,05–10,59 | 8,39 5,71–11,07 4,97–11,81 | 15,21 9,59–20,84 8,02–22,40 | 30% 61% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,08 1,20–4,96 0,66–5,51 | 3,16 1,50–4,81 1,01–5,30 | 6,24 2,70–9,77 1,67–10,81 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Cornere | 4,43 2,22–6,64 1,64–7,22 | 5,08 3,08–7,08 2,54–7,61 | 9,51 5,29–13,72 4,19–14,83 | 35% 52% |
| Posesie % | 49,68 42,89–56,47 41,22–58,14 | 50,92 44,13–57,70 42,46–59,38 | — | 45% 51% |
| Pase | 397 330–464 311–482 | 387 320–453 303–471 | 783 650–917 614–953 | 53% 46% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,80 61,77–69,83 60,48–71,12 | 69,80 65,47–74,12 64,16–75,43 | — | 28% 67% |
| Faulturi | 14,55 11,71–17,39 10,96–18,15 | 14,98 12,03–17,92 11,28–18,67 | 29,53 23,75–35,31 22,24–36,82 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,37 0,21–2,53 0,00–2,84 | 1,91 0,81–3,00 0,53–3,29 | 3,28 1,03–5,54 0,44–6,13 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,74 1,69–3,79 1,42–4,05 | 2,75 1,62–3,88 1,33–4,17 | 5,49 3,31–7,67 2,76–8,23 | 41% 17% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,28 0,00–0,62 0,00–0,91 | 77% |
| Parade portar | 2,87 1,44–4,31 1,05–4,70 | 2,52 0,96–4,07 0,54–4,50 | 5,39 2,40–8,38 1,59–9,20 | 47% 17% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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