Primeira Liga·Etapa 11·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
28%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,181,102,28sigur0,21–2,150,25–1,960,46–4,10mai sigur0,00–2,400,02–2,190,00–4,58
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,303,908,19sigur2,43–6,162,16–5,644,59–11,80mai sigur1,94–6,651,69–6,113,63–12,75
Total șuturi
69%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4011,3825,78sigur10,48–18,337,82–14,9418,29–33,27mai sigur9,39–19,426,86–15,9016,24–35,32
Șuturi din careu
58%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,176,8815,04sigur5,22–11,114,20–9,569,42–20,67mai sigur4,39–11,943,46–10,307,85–22,23
Șuturi blocate
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,482,986,46sigur1,60–5,361,32–4,632,92–9,99mai sigur1,05–5,900,83–5,121,88–11,03
Cornere
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,234,209,42sigur3,01–7,442,20–6,205,21–13,64mai sigur2,44–8,011,66–6,734,10–14,75
Posesie %
46%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7550,47sigur42,96–56,5443,69–57,25mai sigur41,29–58,2142,01–58,93
Pase
48%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție429434863sigur361–496368–501729–997mai sigur343–514350–518694–1032
Precizie pase %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,0673,00sigur67,03–75,0968,68–77,32mai sigur65,73–76,3867,37–78,63
Faulturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5912,6426,23sigur10,75–16,439,70–15,5920,45–32,02mai sigur10,00–17,188,95–16,3418,95–33,52
Ofsaiduri
34%
24%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,643,09sigur0,28–2,610,55–2,730,83–5,34mai sigur0,00–2,910,26–3,020,24–5,93
Cartonașe galbene
30%
20%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,842,374,22sigur0,80–2,891,24–3,502,04–6,39mai sigur0,53–3,160,95–3,791,48–6,95
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,150,27sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,340,00–0,62mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,470,00–0,90
Parade portar
35%
17%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,743,145,89sigur1,31–4,181,58–4,702,89–8,88mai sigur0,92–4,571,16–5,122,08–9,69
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,18 0,21–2,15 0,00–2,40 | 1,10 0,25–1,96 0,02–2,19 | 2,28 0,46–4,10 0,00–4,58 | 38% 28% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,30 2,43–6,16 1,94–6,65 | 3,90 2,16–5,64 1,69–6,11 | 8,19 4,59–11,80 3,63–12,75 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 14,40 10,48–18,33 9,39–19,42 | 11,38 7,82–14,94 6,86–15,90 | 25,78 18,29–33,27 16,24–35,32 | 69% 24% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,17 5,22–11,11 4,39–11,94 | 6,88 4,20–9,56 3,46–10,30 | 15,04 9,42–20,67 7,85–22,23 | 58% 32% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,48 1,60–5,36 1,05–5,90 | 2,98 1,32–4,63 0,83–5,12 | 6,46 2,92–9,99 1,88–11,03 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,23 3,01–7,44 2,44–8,01 | 4,20 2,20–6,20 1,66–6,73 | 9,42 5,21–13,64 4,10–14,75 | 57% 31% |
| Posesie % | 49,75 42,96–56,54 41,29–58,21 | 50,47 43,69–57,25 42,01–58,93 | — | 46% 49% |
| Pase | 429 361–496 343–514 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 863 729–997 694–1032 | 48% 52% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,06 67,03–75,09 65,73–76,38 | 73,00 68,68–77,32 67,37–78,63 | — | 38% 57% |
| Faulturi | 13,59 10,75–16,43 10,00–17,18 | 12,64 9,70–15,59 8,95–16,34 | 26,23 20,45–32,02 18,95–33,52 | 53% 39% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,44 0,28–2,61 0,00–2,91 | 1,64 0,55–2,73 0,26–3,02 | 3,09 0,83–5,34 0,24–5,93 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,84 0,80–2,89 0,53–3,16 | 2,37 1,24–3,50 0,95–3,79 | 4,22 2,04–6,39 1,48–6,95 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,27 0,00–0,62 0,00–0,90 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 2,74 1,31–4,18 0,92–4,57 | 3,14 1,58–4,70 1,16–5,12 | 5,89 2,89–8,88 2,08–9,69 | 35% 17% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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