Primeira Liga·Etapa 12·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
27%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,161,332,50sigur0,19–2,130,48–2,190,67–4,32mai sigur0,00–2,380,25–2,420,19–4,80
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
14%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,754,378,12sigur1,89–5,622,62–6,114,52–11,73mai sigur1,40–6,112,16–6,573,56–12,68
Total șuturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5412,5325,07sigur8,61–16,468,97–16,1017,58–32,56mai sigur7,52–17,558,01–17,0615,53–34,61
Șuturi din careu
43%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,717,8815,60sigur4,77–10,665,20–10,569,97–21,22mai sigur3,94–11,494,47–11,308,41–22,79
Șuturi blocate
39%
15%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,413,657,06sigur1,53–5,292,00–5,303,53–10,60mai sigur0,98–5,831,51–5,802,49–11,63
Cornere
43%
14%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,444,458,89sigur2,22–6,652,45–6,454,67–13,10mai sigur1,65–7,221,92–6,983,57–14,21
Posesie %
22%
75%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,0656,25sigur37,27–50,8549,46–63,03mai sigur35,60–52,5247,79–64,70
Pase
17%
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție377491868sigur310–445425–557735–1002mai sigur292–463407–575699–1038
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,1078,70sigur65,07–73,1374,38–83,02mai sigur63,77–74,4273,07–84,33
Faulturi
52%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2513,5527,80sigur11,42–17,0910,61–16,5022,02–33,59mai sigur10,66–17,859,86–17,2420,52–35,09
Ofsaiduri
46%
25%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,162,70sigur0,38–2,700,07–2,260,45–4,96mai sigur0,08–3,000,00–2,540,00–5,55
Cartonașe galbene
46%
17%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,952,695,65sigur1,90–4,001,56–3,823,47–7,82mai sigur1,64–4,271,27–4,112,91–8,38
Cartonașe roșii
16%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,200,130,33sigur0,04–0,360,00–0,320,00–0,68mai sigur0,00–0,510,00–0,450,00–0,96
Parade portar
46%
17%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,902,625,52sigur1,47–4,341,06–4,172,52–8,51mai sigur1,08–4,720,64–4,601,71–9,32
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,16 0,19–2,13 0,00–2,38 | 1,33 0,48–2,19 0,25–2,42 | 2,50 0,67–4,32 0,19–4,80 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,75 1,89–5,62 1,40–6,11 | 4,37 2,62–6,11 2,16–6,57 | 8,12 4,52–11,73 3,56–12,68 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total șuturi | 12,54 8,61–16,46 7,52–17,55 | 12,53 8,97–16,10 8,01–17,06 | 25,07 17,58–32,56 15,53–34,61 | 46% 46% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,71 4,77–10,66 3,94–11,49 | 7,88 5,20–10,56 4,47–11,30 | 15,60 9,97–21,22 8,41–22,79 | 43% 47% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,41 1,53–5,29 0,98–5,83 | 3,65 2,00–5,30 1,51–5,80 | 7,06 3,53–10,60 2,49–11,63 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,44 2,22–6,65 1,65–7,22 | 4,45 2,45–6,45 1,92–6,98 | 8,89 4,67–13,10 3,57–14,21 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Posesie % | 44,06 37,27–50,85 35,60–52,52 | 56,25 49,46–63,03 47,79–64,70 | — | 22% 75% |
| Pase | 377 310–445 292–463 | 491 425–557 407–575 | 868 735–1002 699–1038 | 17% 83% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,10 65,07–73,13 63,77–74,42 | 78,70 74,38–83,02 73,07–84,33 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 14,25 11,42–17,09 10,66–17,85 | 13,55 10,61–16,50 9,86–17,24 | 27,80 22,02–33,59 20,52–35,09 | 52% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,00 | 1,16 0,07–2,26 0,00–2,54 | 2,70 0,45–4,96 0,00–5,55 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,95 1,90–4,00 1,64–4,27 | 2,69 1,56–3,82 1,27–4,11 | 5,65 3,47–7,82 2,91–8,38 | 46% 17% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,20 0,04–0,36 0,00–0,51 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,33 0,00–0,68 0,00–0,96 | 16% 74% |
| Parade portar | 2,90 1,47–4,34 1,08–4,72 | 2,62 1,06–4,17 0,64–4,60 | 5,52 2,52–8,51 1,71–9,32 | 46% 17% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.