Primeira Liga·Etapa 12·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
26%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,142,61sigur0,50–2,440,29–1,990,79–4,43mai sigur0,25–2,690,06–2,220,31–4,91
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,863,738,59sigur3,00–6,721,99–5,474,99–12,20mai sigur2,51–7,211,52–5,944,03–13,15
Total șuturi
75%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6810,7825,46sigur10,75–18,607,22–14,3417,97–32,94mai sigur9,66–19,696,26–15,3015,92–35,00
Șuturi din careu
69%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,406,9216,32sigur6,46–12,354,23–9,6010,69–21,94mai sigur5,63–13,173,50–10,339,13–23,51
Șuturi blocate
53%
15%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,803,116,91sigur1,91–5,681,46–4,773,38–10,45mai sigur1,37–6,220,97–5,262,34–11,48
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,644,129,76sigur3,43–7,862,12–6,125,55–13,97mai sigur2,86–8,431,59–6,654,44–15,08
Posesie %
61%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,8147,30sigur46,02–59,6040,51–54,08mai sigur44,35–61,2738,84–55,75
Pase
71%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție495427922sigur428–562361–494789–1056mai sigur410–580343–511753–1092
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,5771,29sigur68,54–76,6066,97–75,62mai sigur67,25–77,8965,66–76,93
Faulturi
49%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8911,5023,39sigur9,06–14,738,55–14,4417,61–29,17mai sigur8,30–15,497,80–15,1916,10–30,68
Ofsaiduri
56%
21%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,071,283,35sigur0,91–3,230,18–2,371,10–5,60mai sigur0,61–3,530,00–2,660,51–6,19
Cartonașe galbene
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,863,47sigur0,56–2,650,74–2,991,29–5,65mai sigur0,29–2,920,44–3,280,73–6,20
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
32%
16%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,663,305,96sigur1,22–4,091,75–4,862,96–8,95mai sigur0,83–4,481,32–5,282,15–9,76
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,47 0,50–2,44 0,25–2,69 | 1,14 0,29–1,99 0,06–2,22 | 2,61 0,79–4,43 0,31–4,91 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,86 3,00–6,72 2,51–7,21 | 3,73 1,99–5,47 1,52–5,94 | 8,59 4,99–12,20 4,03–13,15 | 58% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 14,68 10,75–18,60 9,66–19,69 | 10,78 7,22–14,34 6,26–15,30 | 25,46 17,97–32,94 15,92–35,00 | 75% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,40 6,46–12,35 5,63–13,17 | 6,92 4,23–9,60 3,50–10,33 | 16,32 10,69–21,94 9,13–23,51 | 69% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,80 1,91–5,68 1,37–6,22 | 3,11 1,46–4,77 0,97–5,26 | 6,91 3,38–10,45 2,34–11,48 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,64 3,43–7,86 2,86–8,43 | 4,12 2,12–6,12 1,59–6,65 | 9,76 5,55–13,97 4,44–15,08 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 52,81 46,02–59,60 44,35–61,27 | 47,30 40,51–54,08 38,84–55,75 | — | 61% 35% |
| Pase | 495 428–562 410–580 | 427 361–494 343–511 | 922 789–1056 753–1092 | 71% 28% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,57 68,54–76,60 67,25–77,89 | 71,29 66,97–75,62 65,66–76,93 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 11,89 9,06–14,73 8,30–15,49 | 11,50 8,55–14,44 7,80–15,19 | 23,39 17,61–29,17 16,10–30,68 | 49% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,91–3,23 0,61–3,53 | 1,28 0,18–2,37 0,00–2,66 | 3,35 1,10–5,60 0,51–6,19 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,60 0,56–2,65 0,29–2,92 | 1,86 0,74–2,99 0,44–3,28 | 3,47 1,29–5,65 0,73–6,20 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,66 1,22–4,09 0,83–4,48 | 3,30 1,75–4,86 1,32–5,28 | 5,96 2,96–8,95 2,15–9,76 | 32% 16% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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