Primeira Liga·Etapa 13·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
29%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,270,932,20sigur0,30–2,240,08–1,790,38–4,02mai sigur0,05–2,490,00–2,020,00–4,50
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
13%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,483,197,67sigur2,62–6,341,45–4,934,06–11,27mai sigur2,13–6,830,98–5,403,11–12,23
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9610,4624,42sigur10,04–17,896,90–14,0216,94–31,91mai sigur8,95–18,985,94–14,9814,89–33,96
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,926,2915,22sigur5,98–11,873,61–8,979,59–20,84mai sigur5,15–12,702,87–9,718,03–22,41
Șuturi blocate
55%
15%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,672,856,52sigur1,79–5,551,20–4,512,99–10,06mai sigur1,24–6,100,71–5,001,95–11,09
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,593,809,40sigur3,38–7,811,80–5,805,18–13,61mai sigur2,81–8,381,27–6,344,08–14,72
Posesie %
65%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,9546,49sigur47,16–60,7439,70–53,27mai sigur45,49–62,4138,03–54,94
Pase
67%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție436384820sigur369–503318–450686–954mai sigur351–521300–468651–989
Precizie pase %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,1969,59sigur65,16–73,2265,27–73,92mai sigur63,87–74,5163,96–75,23
Faulturi
63%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,4213,0828,51sigur12,58–18,2610,14–16,0322,72–34,29mai sigur11,83–19,019,39–16,7821,22–35,79
Ofsaiduri
53%
22%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,001,343,34sigur0,84–3,160,25–2,441,09–5,59mai sigur0,54–3,460,00–2,720,50–6,18
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,062,234,29sigur1,01–3,101,10–3,362,11–6,47mai sigur0,74–3,370,81–3,651,55–7,02
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,110,23sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,300,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,430,00–0,86
Parade portar
28%
17%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,303,145,44sigur0,86–3,731,59–4,702,45–8,43mai sigur0,47–4,121,16–5,121,64–9,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,27 0,30–2,24 0,05–2,49 | 0,93 0,08–1,79 0,00–2,02 | 2,20 0,38–4,02 0,00–4,50 | 44% 29% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,48 2,62–6,34 2,13–6,83 | 3,19 1,45–4,93 0,98–5,40 | 7,67 4,06–11,27 3,11–12,23 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 13,96 10,04–17,89 8,95–18,98 | 10,46 6,90–14,02 5,94–14,98 | 24,42 16,94–31,91 14,89–33,96 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,92 5,98–11,87 5,15–12,70 | 6,29 3,61–8,97 2,87–9,71 | 15,22 9,59–20,84 8,03–22,41 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,67 1,79–5,55 1,24–6,10 | 2,85 1,20–4,51 0,71–5,00 | 6,52 2,99–10,06 1,95–11,09 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Cornere | 5,59 3,38–7,81 2,81–8,38 | 3,80 1,80–5,80 1,27–6,34 | 9,40 5,18–13,61 4,08–14,72 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 53,95 47,16–60,74 45,49–62,41 | 46,49 39,70–53,27 38,03–54,94 | — | 65% 31% |
| Pase | 436 369–503 351–521 | 384 318–450 300–468 | 820 686–954 651–989 | 67% 33% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,19 65,16–73,22 63,87–74,51 | 69,59 65,27–73,92 63,96–75,23 | — | 45% 50% |
| Faulturi | 15,42 12,58–18,26 11,83–19,01 | 13,08 10,14–16,03 9,39–16,78 | 28,51 22,72–34,29 21,22–35,79 | 63% 30% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,00 0,84–3,16 0,54–3,46 | 1,34 0,25–2,44 0,00–2,72 | 3,34 1,09–5,59 0,50–6,18 | 53% 22% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,06 1,01–3,10 0,74–3,37 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 4,29 2,11–6,47 1,55–7,02 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,30 0,86–3,73 0,47–4,12 | 3,14 1,59–4,70 1,16–5,12 | 5,44 2,45–8,43 1,64–9,25 | 28% 17% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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