Primeira Liga·Etapa 13·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
18%
24%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,851,712,55sigur0,00–1,820,85–2,560,73–4,38mai sigur0,00–2,070,62–2,790,25–4,86
Șuturi pe poartă
25%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,304,697,99sigur1,44–5,172,95–6,434,39–11,60mai sigur0,95–5,662,48–6,903,43–12,55
Total șuturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4613,3324,79sigur7,54–15,399,76–16,8917,30–32,28mai sigur6,45–16,488,80–17,8515,25–34,33
Șuturi din careu
21%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,459,0415,49sigur3,51–9,396,36–11,729,87–21,11mai sigur2,68–10,225,63–12,468,30–22,68
Șuturi blocate
41%
16%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,303,416,71sigur1,42–5,191,75–5,063,17–10,24mai sigur0,88–5,731,26–5,552,14–11,28
Cornere
29%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,135,279,40sigur1,92–6,343,27–7,285,19–13,62mai sigur1,34–6,922,74–7,814,08–14,73
Posesie %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,1457,98sigur35,35–48,9351,20–64,77mai sigur33,68–50,6049,53–66,44
Pase
15%
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție350473822sigur282–417406–539689–956mai sigur264–435389–557653–992
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,2573,29sigur60,22–68,2868,97–77,61mai sigur58,93–69,5767,66–78,92
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5314,3427,87sigur10,70–16,3711,39–17,2822,09–33,65mai sigur9,94–17,1310,64–18,0320,58–35,16
Ofsaiduri
23%
21%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,322,123,44sigur0,16–2,481,02–3,211,18–5,69mai sigur0,00–2,780,74–3,500,59–6,28
Cartonașe galbene
45%
19%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,442,204,64sigur1,39–3,491,07–3,332,46–6,82mai sigur1,13–3,760,78–3,621,91–7,38
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,090,23sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,280,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,410,00–0,86
Parade portar
53%
17%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,012,345,36sigur1,58–4,450,79–3,902,37–8,35mai sigur1,19–4,840,36–4,331,55–9,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,85 0,00–1,82 0,00–2,07 | 1,71 0,85–2,56 0,62–2,79 | 2,55 0,73–4,38 0,25–4,86 | 18% 24% 58% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,30 1,44–5,17 0,95–5,66 | 4,69 2,95–6,43 2,48–6,90 | 7,99 4,39–11,60 3,43–12,55 | 25% 62% |
| Total șuturi | 11,46 7,54–15,39 6,45–16,48 | 13,33 9,76–16,89 8,80–17,85 | 24,79 17,30–32,28 15,25–34,33 | 32% 61% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,45 3,51–9,39 2,68–10,22 | 9,04 6,36–11,72 5,63–12,46 | 15,49 9,87–21,11 8,30–22,68 | 21% 70% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,30 1,42–5,19 0,88–5,73 | 3,41 1,75–5,06 1,26–5,55 | 6,71 3,17–10,24 2,14–11,28 | 41% 16% 44% |
| Cornere | 4,13 1,92–6,34 1,34–6,92 | 5,27 3,27–7,28 2,74–7,81 | 9,40 5,19–13,62 4,08–14,73 | 29% 58% |
| Posesie % | 42,14 35,35–48,93 33,68–50,60 | 57,98 51,20–64,77 49,53–66,44 | — | 16% 81% |
| Pase | 350 282–417 264–435 | 473 406–539 389–557 | 822 689–956 653–992 | 15% 85% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,25 60,22–68,28 58,93–69,57 | 73,29 68,97–77,61 67,66–78,92 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 13,53 10,70–16,37 9,94–17,13 | 14,34 11,39–17,28 10,64–18,03 | 27,87 22,09–33,65 20,58–35,16 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,32 0,16–2,48 0,00–2,78 | 2,12 1,02–3,21 0,74–3,50 | 3,44 1,18–5,69 0,59–6,28 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,44 1,39–3,49 1,13–3,76 | 2,20 1,07–3,33 0,78–3,62 | 4,64 2,46–6,82 1,91–7,38 | 45% 19% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,23 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,01 1,58–4,45 1,19–4,84 | 2,34 0,79–3,90 0,36–4,33 | 5,36 2,37–8,35 1,55–9,16 | 53% 17% 30% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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