Primeira Liga·Etapa 15·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
61%
23%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,800,822,62sigur0,84–2,770,00–1,680,80–4,45mai sigur0,58–3,020,00–1,900,32–4,93
Șuturi pe poartă
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,512,758,26sigur3,65–7,371,01–4,494,66–11,87mai sigur3,16–7,860,54–4,963,70–12,82
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,439,0425,47sigur12,50–20,355,48–12,6017,98–32,96mai sigur11,41–21,454,52–13,5615,93–35,01
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,235,0415,27sigur7,28–13,172,36–7,729,64–20,89mai sigur6,46–14,001,62–8,468,08–22,46
Șuturi blocate
66%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,332,717,04sigur2,45–6,211,06–4,363,50–10,57mai sigur1,90–6,760,56–4,852,47–11,61
Cornere
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,983,079,05sigur3,76–8,191,07–5,074,83–13,26mai sigur3,19–8,760,54–5,603,73–14,37
Posesie %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,6842,06sigur50,89–64,4735,28–48,85mai sigur49,22–66,1433,61–50,52
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție572406978sigur505–639340–473845–1112mai sigur487–657322–490809–1148
Precizie pase %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,3971,08sigur72,36–80,4266,75–75,40mai sigur71,07–81,7165,44–76,71
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3912,3424,73sigur9,55–15,239,40–15,2918,95–30,52mai sigur8,80–15,988,65–16,0417,45–32,02
Ofsaiduri
46%
24%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,373,08sigur0,55–2,870,27–2,460,82–5,33mai sigur0,25–3,170,00–2,750,23–5,92
Cartonașe galbene
32%
21%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,722,133,86sigur0,67–2,771,00–3,261,68–6,03mai sigur0,41–3,040,71–3,551,12–6,59
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,130,22sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,320,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,85
Parade portar
20%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,103,555,64sigur0,66–3,531,99–5,102,65–8,64mai sigur0,27–3,921,57–5,531,84–9,45
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,80 0,84–2,77 0,58–3,02 | 0,82 0,00–1,68 0,00–1,90 | 2,62 0,80–4,45 0,32–4,93 | 61% 23% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,51 3,65–7,37 3,16–7,86 | 2,75 1,01–4,49 0,54–4,96 | 8,26 4,66–11,87 3,70–12,82 | 79% |
| Total șuturi | 16,43 12,50–20,35 11,41–21,45 | 9,04 5,48–12,60 4,52–13,56 | 25,47 17,98–32,96 15,93–35,01 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,23 7,28–13,17 6,46–14,00 | 5,04 2,36–7,72 1,62–8,46 | 15,27 9,64–20,89 8,08–22,46 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,33 2,45–6,21 1,90–6,76 | 2,71 1,06–4,36 0,56–4,85 | 7,04 3,50–10,57 2,47–11,61 | 66% 21% |
| Cornere | 5,98 3,76–8,19 3,19–8,76 | 3,07 1,07–5,07 0,54–5,60 | 9,05 4,83–13,26 3,73–14,37 | 79% |
| Posesie % | 57,68 50,89–64,47 49,22–66,14 | 42,06 35,28–48,85 33,61–50,52 | — | 81% 16% |
| Pase | 572 505–639 487–657 | 406 340–473 322–490 | 978 845–1112 809–1148 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,39 72,36–80,42 71,07–81,71 | 71,08 66,75–75,40 65,44–76,71 | — | 73% 23% |
| Faulturi | 12,39 9,55–15,23 8,80–15,98 | 12,34 9,40–15,29 8,65–16,04 | 24,73 18,95–30,52 17,45–32,02 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,71 0,55–2,87 0,25–3,17 | 1,37 0,27–2,46 0,00–2,75 | 3,08 0,82–5,33 0,23–5,92 | 46% 24% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,72 0,67–2,77 0,41–3,04 | 2,13 1,00–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 3,86 1,68–6,03 1,12–6,59 | 32% 21% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,10 0,66–3,53 0,27–3,92 | 3,55 1,99–5,10 1,57–5,53 | 5,64 2,65–8,64 1,84–9,45 | 20% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.