Primeira Liga·Etapa 15·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
30%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,061,052,11sigur0,09–2,030,19–1,900,29–3,93mai sigur0,00–2,280,00–2,130,00–4,41
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
14%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,203,527,72sigur2,33–6,061,78–5,264,11–11,32mai sigur1,84–6,551,31–5,733,16–12,28
Total șuturi
71%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8410,6424,48sigur9,92–17,777,08–14,2016,99–31,97mai sigur8,83–18,866,12–15,1614,94–34,02
Șuturi din careu
55%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,337,3615,69sigur5,39–11,274,67–10,0410,06–21,31mai sigur4,56–12,103,94–10,778,50–22,88
Șuturi blocate
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,382,886,26sigur1,50–5,261,23–4,542,73–9,80mai sigur0,95–5,800,74–5,031,69–10,83
Cornere
53%
13%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,884,139,02sigur2,67–7,102,13–6,134,80–13,23mai sigur2,10–7,671,60–6,673,70–14,34
Posesie %
74%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,8844,16sigur49,09–62,6737,37–50,94mai sigur47,42–64,3435,70–52,62
Pase
77%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție459370828sigur391–526303–436695–962mai sigur373–544286–454659–998
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,5670,37sigur67,53–75,5966,05–74,69mai sigur66,24–76,8864,74–76,00
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9713,4227,39sigur11,13–16,8010,48–16,3721,61–33,17mai sigur10,37–17,569,73–17,1220,10–34,68
Ofsaiduri
45%
22%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,563,43sigur0,71–3,030,47–2,651,18–5,68mai sigur0,41–3,330,18–2,940,59–6,27
Cartonașe galbene
29%
18%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,962,654,61sigur0,91–3,011,52–3,782,43–6,79mai sigur0,64–3,281,23–4,071,87–7,34
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,150,27sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,330,00–0,62mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,470,00–0,90
Parade portar
33%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,503,045,54sigur1,07–3,941,48–4,592,55–8,53mai sigur0,68–4,331,06–5,021,74–9,35
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,06 0,09–2,03 0,00–2,28 | 1,05 0,19–1,90 0,00–2,13 | 2,11 0,29–3,93 0,00–4,41 | 35% 30% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,20 2,33–6,06 1,84–6,55 | 3,52 1,78–5,26 1,31–5,73 | 7,72 4,11–11,32 3,16–12,28 | 52% 14% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 13,84 9,92–17,77 8,83–18,86 | 10,64 7,08–14,20 6,12–15,16 | 24,48 16,99–31,97 14,94–34,02 | 71% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,33 5,39–11,27 4,56–12,10 | 7,36 4,67–10,04 3,94–10,77 | 15,69 10,06–21,31 8,50–22,88 | 55% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,38 1,50–5,26 0,95–5,80 | 2,88 1,23–4,54 0,74–5,03 | 6,26 2,73–9,80 1,69–10,83 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Cornere | 4,88 2,67–7,10 2,10–7,67 | 4,13 2,13–6,13 1,60–6,67 | 9,02 4,80–13,23 3,70–14,34 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Posesie % | 55,88 49,09–62,67 47,42–64,34 | 44,16 37,37–50,94 35,70–52,62 | — | 74% 23% |
| Pase | 459 391–526 373–544 | 370 303–436 286–454 | 828 695–962 659–998 | 77% 23% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,56 67,53–75,59 66,24–76,88 | 70,37 66,05–74,69 64,74–76,00 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 13,97 11,13–16,80 10,37–17,56 | 13,42 10,48–16,37 9,73–17,12 | 27,39 21,61–33,17 20,10–34,68 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,87 0,71–3,03 0,41–3,33 | 1,56 0,47–2,65 0,18–2,94 | 3,43 1,18–5,68 0,59–6,27 | 45% 22% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,96 0,91–3,01 0,64–3,28 | 2,65 1,52–3,78 1,23–4,07 | 4,61 2,43–6,79 1,87–7,34 | 29% 18% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,15 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,47 | 0,27 0,00–0,62 0,00–0,90 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 2,50 1,07–3,94 0,68–4,33 | 3,04 1,48–4,59 1,06–5,02 | 5,54 2,55–8,53 1,74–9,35 | 33% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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