Primeira Liga·Etapa 16·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
28%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,241,182,42sigur0,27–2,210,33–2,040,60–4,24mai sigur0,02–2,460,10–2,260,12–4,72
Șuturi pe poartă
55%
13%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,633,728,35sigur2,77–6,491,98–5,474,75–11,96mai sigur2,28–6,981,51–5,933,79–12,91
Total șuturi
63%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7311,5325,26sigur9,81–17,667,96–15,0917,77–32,74mai sigur8,72–18,757,00–16,0515,72–34,80
Șuturi din careu
55%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,597,6116,20sigur5,65–11,544,93–10,2910,58–21,83mai sigur4,82–12,374,19–11,039,01–23,39
Șuturi blocate
46%
15%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,603,386,98sigur1,72–5,481,73–5,043,45–10,52mai sigur1,17–6,031,24–5,532,41–11,55
Cornere
52%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,054,369,41sigur2,83–7,262,36–6,365,20–13,62mai sigur2,26–7,831,83–6,904,09–14,73
Posesie %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,0751,82sigur41,28–54,8645,04–58,61mai sigur39,61–56,5343,37–60,28
Pase
44%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție453472925sigur386–520405–538791–1058mai sigur368–539388–555755–1094
Precizie pase %
28%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,8175,82sigur67,78–75,8471,50–80,15mai sigur66,49–77,1470,19–81,46
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3712,7125,08sigur9,53–15,219,77–15,6619,30–30,87mai sigur8,78–15,969,02–16,4117,80–32,37
Ofsaiduri
48%
22%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,443,32sigur0,72–3,040,35–2,541,07–5,57mai sigur0,42–3,340,06–2,820,48–6,16
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,082,134,21sigur1,03–3,131,00–3,262,03–6,38mai sigur0,76–3,390,71–3,551,47–6,94
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,110,22sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,290,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,420,00–0,85
Parade portar
31%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,513,205,71sigur1,08–3,951,64–4,762,72–8,71mai sigur0,69–4,341,22–5,181,91–9,52
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,24 0,27–2,21 0,02–2,46 | 1,18 0,33–2,04 0,10–2,26 | 2,42 0,60–4,24 0,12–4,72 | 38% 28% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,63 2,77–6,49 2,28–6,98 | 3,72 1,98–5,47 1,51–5,93 | 8,35 4,75–11,96 3,79–12,91 | 55% 13% 31% |
| Total șuturi | 13,73 9,81–17,66 8,72–18,75 | 11,53 7,96–15,09 7,00–16,05 | 25,26 17,77–32,74 15,72–34,80 | 63% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,59 5,65–11,54 4,82–12,37 | 7,61 4,93–10,29 4,19–11,03 | 16,20 10,58–21,83 9,01–23,39 | 55% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,60 1,72–5,48 1,17–6,03 | 3,38 1,73–5,04 1,24–5,53 | 6,98 3,45–10,52 2,41–11,55 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,05 2,83–7,26 2,26–7,83 | 4,36 2,36–6,36 1,83–6,90 | 9,41 5,20–13,62 4,09–14,73 | 52% 35% |
| Posesie % | 48,07 41,28–54,86 39,61–56,53 | 51,82 45,04–58,61 43,37–60,28 | — | 39% 56% |
| Pase | 453 386–520 368–539 | 472 405–538 388–555 | 925 791–1058 755–1094 | 44% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,81 67,78–75,84 66,49–77,14 | 75,82 71,50–80,15 70,19–81,46 | — | 28% 67% |
| Faulturi | 12,37 9,53–15,21 8,78–15,96 | 12,71 9,77–15,66 9,02–16,41 | 25,08 19,30–30,87 17,80–32,37 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,88 0,72–3,04 0,42–3,34 | 1,44 0,35–2,54 0,06–2,82 | 3,32 1,07–5,57 0,48–6,16 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,08 1,03–3,13 0,76–3,39 | 2,13 1,00–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 4,21 2,03–6,38 1,47–6,94 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,22 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,51 1,08–3,95 0,69–4,34 | 3,20 1,64–4,76 1,22–5,18 | 5,71 2,72–8,71 1,91–9,52 | 31% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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