Primeira Liga·Etapa 16·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
28%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,191,172,36sigur0,22–2,160,31–2,020,53–4,18mai sigur0,00–2,410,08–2,250,05–4,66
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,143,777,91sigur2,27–6,002,03–5,524,31–11,52mai sigur1,78–6,491,57–5,983,35–12,47
Total șuturi
69%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7110,7824,49sigur9,79–17,647,21–14,3417,00–31,98mai sigur8,70–18,736,25–15,3014,95–34,03
Șuturi din careu
57%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,776,6014,36sigur4,82–10,713,92–9,288,74–19,99mai sigur3,99–11,543,18–10,027,17–21,55
Șuturi blocate
54%
16%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,522,776,29sigur1,63–5,401,12–4,422,75–9,82mai sigur1,09–5,940,62–4,911,71–10,86
Cornere
48%
13%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,654,268,92sigur2,44–6,872,26–6,264,70–13,13mai sigur1,87–7,441,73–6,803,60–14,24
Posesie %
37%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,7352,55sigur40,94–54,5245,77–59,34mai sigur39,27–56,1944,10–61,01
Pase
37%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție395434829sigur327–462368–500695–962mai sigur309–480350–518659–998
Precizie pase %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,4771,80sigur63,44–71,5067,48–76,13mai sigur62,15–72,7966,17–77,44
Faulturi
47%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4714,4028,87sigur11,63–17,3111,46–17,3523,09–34,66mai sigur10,88–18,0610,71–18,1021,59–36,16
Ofsaiduri
26%
21%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,402,043,44sigur0,24–2,560,95–3,131,19–5,70mai sigur0,00–2,860,66–3,420,60–6,29
Cartonașe galbene
38%
19%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,342,504,83sigur1,29–3,391,37–3,632,66–7,01mai sigur1,02–3,651,08–3,922,10–7,57
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,140,24sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,320,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,460,00–0,87
Parade portar
36%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,602,945,53sigur1,16–4,031,38–4,492,54–8,53mai sigur0,77–4,420,96–4,921,73–9,34
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,19 0,22–2,16 0,00–2,41 | 1,17 0,31–2,02 0,08–2,25 | 2,36 0,53–4,18 0,05–4,66 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,14 2,27–6,00 1,78–6,49 | 3,77 2,03–5,52 1,57–5,98 | 7,91 4,31–11,52 3,35–12,47 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 13,71 9,79–17,64 8,70–18,73 | 10,78 7,21–14,34 6,25–15,30 | 24,49 17,00–31,98 14,95–34,03 | 69% 24% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,77 4,82–10,71 3,99–11,54 | 6,60 3,92–9,28 3,18–10,02 | 14,36 8,74–19,99 7,17–21,55 | 57% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,52 1,63–5,40 1,09–5,94 | 2,77 1,12–4,42 0,62–4,91 | 6,29 2,75–9,82 1,71–10,86 | 54% 16% 31% |
| Cornere | 4,65 2,44–6,87 1,87–7,44 | 4,26 2,26–6,26 1,73–6,80 | 8,92 4,70–13,13 3,60–14,24 | 48% 13% 38% |
| Posesie % | 47,73 40,94–54,52 39,27–56,19 | 52,55 45,77–59,34 44,10–61,01 | — | 37% 59% |
| Pase | 395 327–462 309–480 | 434 368–500 350–518 | 829 695–962 659–998 | 37% 63% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,47 63,44–71,50 62,15–72,79 | 71,80 67,48–76,13 66,17–77,44 | — | 27% 69% |
| Faulturi | 14,47 11,63–17,31 10,88–18,06 | 14,40 11,46–17,35 10,71–18,10 | 28,87 23,09–34,66 21,59–36,16 | 47% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,40 0,24–2,56 0,00–2,86 | 2,04 0,95–3,13 0,66–3,42 | 3,44 1,19–5,70 0,60–6,29 | 26% 21% 52% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,34 1,29–3,39 1,02–3,65 | 2,50 1,37–3,63 1,08–3,92 | 4,83 2,66–7,01 2,10–7,57 | 38% 19% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,14 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,46 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,60 1,16–4,03 0,77–4,42 | 2,94 1,38–4,49 0,96–4,92 | 5,53 2,54–8,53 1,73–9,34 | 36% 17% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.