Primeira Liga·Etapa 16·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
27%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,221,242,46sigur0,25–2,190,38–2,090,64–4,28mai sigur0,00–2,440,15–2,320,16–4,76
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,053,667,71sigur2,19–5,911,92–5,404,10–11,31mai sigur1,70–6,401,45–5,873,15–12,27
Total șuturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8311,5524,38sigur8,91–16,767,99–15,1116,89–31,87mai sigur7,81–17,857,03–16,0714,84–33,92
Șuturi din careu
50%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,907,4115,31sigur4,95–10,844,73–10,109,69–20,93mai sigur4,12–11,674,00–10,838,12–22,50
Șuturi blocate
53%
16%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,442,736,17sigur1,56–5,321,07–4,382,63–9,70mai sigur1,01–5,870,58–4,871,60–10,74
Cornere
48%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,124,749,85sigur2,90–7,332,74–6,745,64–14,07mai sigur2,33–7,902,20–7,274,53–15,17
Posesie %
60%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,4247,21sigur45,63–59,2140,42–53,99mai sigur43,96–60,8838,75–55,66
Pase
68%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție423366789sigur356–491300–432656–923mai sigur338–509282–450620–959
Precizie pase %
43%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,7668,56sigur63,73–71,7964,23–72,88mai sigur62,44–73,0862,92–74,19
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4914,1627,65sigur10,65–16,3311,21–17,1021,87–33,43mai sigur9,90–17,0810,46–17,8520,36–34,93
Ofsaiduri
35%
24%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,461,583,04sigur0,30–2,620,49–2,670,78–5,29mai sigur0,00–2,920,20–2,960,19–5,88
Cartonașe galbene
35%
20%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,052,344,39sigur1,00–3,101,21–3,472,21–6,57mai sigur0,74–3,370,92–3,761,65–7,13
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,120,23sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,310,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,440,00–0,86
Parade portar
38%
18%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,522,695,20sigur1,08–3,951,13–4,242,21–8,19mai sigur0,69–4,340,71–4,671,40–9,01
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,22 0,25–2,19 0,00–2,44 | 1,24 0,38–2,09 0,15–2,32 | 2,46 0,64–4,28 0,16–4,76 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,05 2,19–5,91 1,70–6,40 | 3,66 1,92–5,40 1,45–5,87 | 7,71 4,10–11,31 3,15–12,27 | 48% 14% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 12,83 8,91–16,76 7,81–17,85 | 11,55 7,99–15,11 7,03–16,07 | 24,38 16,89–31,87 14,84–33,92 | 56% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,90 4,95–10,84 4,12–11,67 | 7,41 4,73–10,10 4,00–10,83 | 15,31 9,69–20,93 8,12–22,50 | 50% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,44 1,56–5,32 1,01–5,87 | 2,73 1,07–4,38 0,58–4,87 | 6,17 2,63–9,70 1,60–10,74 | 53% 16% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,12 2,90–7,33 2,33–7,90 | 4,74 2,74–6,74 2,20–7,27 | 9,85 5,64–14,07 4,53–15,17 | 48% 39% |
| Posesie % | 52,42 45,63–59,21 43,96–60,88 | 47,21 40,42–53,99 38,75–55,66 | — | 60% 36% |
| Pase | 423 356–491 338–509 | 366 300–432 282–450 | 789 656–923 620–959 | 68% 31% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,76 63,73–71,79 62,44–73,08 | 68,56 64,23–72,88 62,92–74,19 | — | 43% 52% |
| Faulturi | 13,49 10,65–16,33 9,90–17,08 | 14,16 11,21–17,10 10,46–17,85 | 27,65 21,87–33,43 20,36–34,93 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,46 0,30–2,62 0,00–2,92 | 1,58 0,49–2,67 0,20–2,96 | 3,04 0,78–5,29 0,19–5,88 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,05 1,00–3,10 0,74–3,37 | 2,34 1,21–3,47 0,92–3,76 | 4,39 2,21–6,57 1,65–7,13 | 35% 20% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,52 1,08–3,95 0,69–4,34 | 2,69 1,13–4,24 0,71–4,67 | 5,20 2,21–8,19 1,40–9,01 | 38% 18% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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