Primeira Liga·Etapa 17·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
27%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,202,53sigur0,36–2,290,35–2,060,70–4,35mai sigur0,10–2,540,12–2,290,22–4,83
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,464,088,54sigur2,60–6,332,33–5,824,94–12,15mai sigur2,11–6,821,87–6,283,98–13,10
Total șuturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3311,8225,14sigur9,40–17,258,25–15,3817,65–32,63mai sigur8,31–18,347,29–16,3415,60–34,68
Șuturi din careu
53%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,327,5415,86sigur5,38–11,264,85–10,2210,23–21,48mai sigur4,55–12,094,12–10,958,67–23,05
Șuturi blocate
54%
16%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,532,806,33sigur1,65–5,421,14–4,452,79–9,87mai sigur1,11–5,960,65–4,941,76–10,90
Cornere
50%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,334,8310,16sigur3,12–7,552,83–6,835,95–14,37mai sigur2,54–8,122,29–7,364,84–15,48
Posesie %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,0847,03sigur45,29–58,8740,25–53,82mai sigur43,62–60,5438,58–55,49
Pase
68%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție446390836sigur379–513324–457703–970mai sigur361–532306–474667–1006
Precizie pase %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,6172,39sigur68,58–76,6468,06–76,71mai sigur67,29–77,9466,75–78,02
Faulturi
16%
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5516,3527,90sigur8,72–14,3913,41–19,3022,12–33,69mai sigur7,96–15,1512,66–20,0420,62–35,19
Ofsaiduri
52%
22%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,021,403,43sigur0,86–3,180,31–2,501,17–5,68mai sigur0,56–3,480,02–2,790,58–6,27
Cartonașe galbene
22%
17%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,772,934,70sigur0,73–2,821,80–4,052,52–6,88mai sigur0,46–3,091,51–4,351,97–7,44
Cartonașe roșii
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,170,29sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,360,00–0,64mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,490,00–0,92
Parade portar
38%
17%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,783,025,80sigur1,34–4,211,47–4,582,81–8,79mai sigur0,95–4,601,04–5,001,99–9,60
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,32 0,36–2,29 0,10–2,54 | 1,20 0,35–2,06 0,12–2,29 | 2,53 0,70–4,35 0,22–4,83 | 39% 27% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,46 2,60–6,33 2,11–6,82 | 4,08 2,33–5,82 1,87–6,28 | 8,54 4,94–12,15 3,98–13,10 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 13,33 9,40–17,25 8,31–18,34 | 11,82 8,25–15,38 7,29–16,34 | 25,14 17,65–32,63 15,60–34,68 | 58% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,32 5,38–11,26 4,55–12,09 | 7,54 4,85–10,22 4,12–10,95 | 15,86 10,23–21,48 8,67–23,05 | 53% 37% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,53 1,65–5,42 1,11–5,96 | 2,80 1,14–4,45 0,65–4,94 | 6,33 2,79–9,87 1,76–10,90 | 54% 16% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,33 3,12–7,55 2,54–8,12 | 4,83 2,83–6,83 2,29–7,36 | 10,16 5,95–14,37 4,84–15,48 | 50% 38% |
| Posesie % | 52,08 45,29–58,87 43,62–60,54 | 47,03 40,25–53,82 38,58–55,49 | — | 59% 36% |
| Pase | 446 379–513 361–532 | 390 324–457 306–474 | 836 703–970 667–1006 | 68% 32% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,61 68,58–76,64 67,29–77,94 | 72,39 68,06–76,71 66,75–78,02 | — | 49% 46% |
| Faulturi | 11,55 8,72–14,39 7,96–15,15 | 16,35 13,41–19,30 12,66–20,04 | 27,90 22,12–33,69 20,62–35,19 | 16% 79% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,02 0,86–3,18 0,56–3,48 | 1,40 0,31–2,50 0,02–2,79 | 3,43 1,17–5,68 0,58–6,27 | 52% 22% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,73–2,82 0,46–3,09 | 2,93 1,80–4,05 1,51–4,35 | 4,70 2,52–6,88 1,97–7,44 | 22% 17% 61% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,36 0,00–0,49 | 0,29 0,00–0,64 0,00–0,92 | 76% 14% |
| Parade portar | 2,78 1,34–4,21 0,95–4,60 | 3,02 1,47–4,58 1,04–5,00 | 5,80 2,81–8,79 1,99–9,60 | 38% 17% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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