Primeira Liga·Etapa 17·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
28%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,261,102,36sigur0,29–2,230,25–1,960,54–4,18mai sigur0,04–2,480,02–2,190,06–4,66
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
14%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,193,707,89sigur2,32–6,051,96–5,444,28–11,49mai sigur1,83–6,541,49–5,913,33–12,45
Total șuturi
49%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3412,0124,35sigur8,41–16,268,45–15,5716,86–31,84mai sigur7,32–17,357,49–16,5314,81–33,89
Șuturi din careu
47%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,627,4215,05sigur4,68–10,574,74–10,109,42–20,67mai sigur3,85–11,404,00–10,847,86–22,24
Șuturi blocate
44%
16%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,213,066,27sigur1,32–5,091,41–4,722,74–9,81mai sigur0,78–5,630,92–5,211,70–10,84
Cornere
49%
13%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,674,268,93sigur2,46–6,882,26–6,264,71–13,14mai sigur1,88–7,461,72–6,793,61–14,25
Posesie %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,7245,71sigur47,93–61,5138,92–52,49mai sigur46,26–63,1837,25–54,16
Pase
71%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție444378822sigur376–511311–444688–955mai sigur358–529294–462652–991
Precizie pase %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,3472,01sigur68,31–76,3767,69–76,34mai sigur67,02–77,6666,38–77,65
Faulturi
49%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,3214,9630,28sigur12,49–18,1612,02–17,9024,50–36,07mai sigur11,73–18,9211,27–18,6523,00–37,57
Ofsaiduri
51%
22%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,353,27sigur0,75–3,070,26–2,441,01–5,52mai sigur0,45–3,380,00–2,730,42–6,11
Cartonașe galbene
34%
18%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,312,695,00sigur1,26–3,361,56–3,822,82–7,18mai sigur1,00–3,631,27–4,112,27–7,74
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,140,27sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,330,00–0,62mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,460,00–0,90
Parade portar
36%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,632,955,58sigur1,19–4,061,40–4,512,59–8,57mai sigur0,80–4,450,97–4,931,78–9,38
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,26 0,29–2,23 0,04–2,48 | 1,10 0,25–1,96 0,02–2,19 | 2,36 0,54–4,18 0,06–4,66 | 40% 28% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,19 2,32–6,05 1,83–6,54 | 3,70 1,96–5,44 1,49–5,91 | 7,89 4,28–11,49 3,33–12,45 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 12,34 8,41–16,26 7,32–17,35 | 12,01 8,45–15,57 7,49–16,53 | 24,35 16,86–31,84 14,81–33,89 | 49% 43% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,62 4,68–10,57 3,85–11,40 | 7,42 4,74–10,10 4,00–10,84 | 15,05 9,42–20,67 7,86–22,24 | 47% 43% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,21 1,32–5,09 0,78–5,63 | 3,06 1,41–4,72 0,92–5,21 | 6,27 2,74–9,81 1,70–10,84 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Cornere | 4,67 2,46–6,88 1,88–7,46 | 4,26 2,26–6,26 1,72–6,79 | 8,93 4,71–13,14 3,61–14,25 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Posesie % | 54,72 47,93–61,51 46,26–63,18 | 45,71 38,92–52,49 37,25–54,16 | — | 68% 28% |
| Pase | 444 376–511 358–529 | 378 311–444 294–462 | 822 688–955 652–991 | 71% 29% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,34 68,31–76,37 67,02–77,66 | 72,01 67,69–76,34 66,38–77,65 | — | 49% 46% |
| Faulturi | 15,32 12,49–18,16 11,73–18,92 | 14,96 12,02–17,90 11,27–18,65 | 30,28 24,50–36,07 23,00–37,57 | 49% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,91 0,75–3,07 0,45–3,38 | 1,35 0,26–2,44 0,00–2,73 | 3,27 1,01–5,52 0,42–6,11 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,31 1,26–3,36 1,00–3,63 | 2,69 1,56–3,82 1,27–4,11 | 5,00 2,82–7,18 2,27–7,74 | 34% 18% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,27 0,00–0,62 0,00–0,90 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 2,63 1,19–4,06 0,80–4,45 | 2,95 1,40–4,51 0,97–4,93 | 5,58 2,59–8,57 1,78–9,38 | 36% 17% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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