Primeira Liga·Etapa 18·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
17%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,912,403,31sigur0,00–1,881,55–3,261,49–5,14mai sigur0,00–2,131,32–3,491,01–5,62
Șuturi pe poartă
14%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,606,5310,13sigur1,74–5,464,78–8,276,52–13,73mai sigur1,25–5,954,32–8,735,57–14,69
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3217,0428,37sigur7,40–15,2513,48–20,6120,88–35,85mai sigur6,31–16,3412,52–21,5718,83–37,90
Șuturi din careu
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,0811,1617,24sigur3,13–9,028,48–13,8411,61–22,86mai sigur2,30–9,857,74–14,5810,05–24,43
Șuturi blocate
17%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,794,857,64sigur0,91–4,673,20–6,504,11–11,18mai sigur0,36–5,222,71–7,003,07–12,21
Cornere
17%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,726,259,97sigur1,50–5,934,25–8,255,76–14,18mai sigur0,93–6,503,72–8,794,65–15,29
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție39,9459,95sigur33,14–46,7353,16–66,73mai sigur31,48–48,3951,49–68,41
Pase
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție381540921sigur314–448474–607788–1055mai sigur296–467456–624752–1091
Precizie pase %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,5081,20sigur64,47–72,5376,88–85,53mai sigur63,18–73,8275,57–86,84
Faulturi
63%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0711,8325,90sigur11,23–16,908,89–14,7820,12–31,68mai sigur10,47–17,668,14–15,5318,61–33,19
Ofsaiduri
35%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,482,85sigur0,21–2,530,39–2,570,60–5,11mai sigur0,00–2,830,10–2,860,01–5,69
Cartonașe galbene
44%
20%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,242,044,29sigur1,19–3,290,91–3,172,11–6,46mai sigur0,93–3,560,62–3,461,55–7,02
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,110,24sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,300,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,430,00–0,87
Parade portar
70%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,362,456,81sigur2,92–5,790,90–4,013,82–9,80mai sigur2,53–6,180,47–4,433,00–10,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,91 0,00–1,88 0,00–2,13 | 2,40 1,55–3,26 1,32–3,49 | 3,31 1,49–5,14 1,01–5,62 | 17% 70% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,60 1,74–5,46 1,25–5,95 | 6,53 4,78–8,27 4,32–8,73 | 10,13 6,52–13,73 5,57–14,69 | 14% 78% |
| Total șuturi | 11,32 7,40–15,25 6,31–16,34 | 17,04 13,48–20,61 12,52–21,57 | 28,37 20,88–35,85 18,83–37,90 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,08 3,13–9,02 2,30–9,85 | 11,16 8,48–13,84 7,74–14,58 | 17,24 11,61–22,86 10,05–24,43 | 87% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,79 0,91–4,67 0,36–5,22 | 4,85 3,20–6,50 2,71–7,00 | 7,64 4,11–11,18 3,07–12,21 | 17% 71% |
| Cornere | 3,72 1,50–5,93 0,93–6,50 | 6,25 4,25–8,25 3,72–8,79 | 9,97 5,76–14,18 4,65–15,29 | 17% 74% |
| Posesie % | 39,94 33,14–46,73 31,48–48,39 | 59,95 53,16–66,73 51,49–68,41 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 381 314–448 296–467 | 540 474–607 456–624 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 91% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,50 64,47–72,53 63,18–73,82 | 81,20 76,88–85,53 75,57–86,84 | — | 94% |
| Faulturi | 14,07 11,23–16,90 10,47–17,66 | 11,83 8,89–14,78 8,14–15,53 | 25,90 20,12–31,68 18,61–33,19 | 63% 30% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,37 0,21–2,53 0,00–2,83 | 1,48 0,39–2,57 0,10–2,86 | 2,85 0,60–5,11 0,01–5,69 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,24 1,19–3,29 0,93–3,56 | 2,04 0,91–3,17 0,62–3,46 | 4,29 2,11–6,46 1,55–7,02 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 4,36 2,92–5,79 2,53–6,18 | 2,45 0,90–4,01 0,47–4,43 | 6,81 3,82–9,80 3,00–10,61 | 70% 17% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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