Primeira Liga·Etapa 18·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
62%
22%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,820,772,58sigur0,85–2,790,00–1,620,76–4,41mai sigur0,60–3,040,00–1,850,28–4,89
Șuturi pe poartă
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,392,608,00sigur3,53–7,260,86–4,344,39–11,60mai sigur3,04–7,750,39–4,813,43–12,56
Total șuturi
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,958,7324,69sigur12,03–19,885,17–12,3017,20–32,17mai sigur10,94–20,974,21–13,2615,15–34,22
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,015,4915,50sigur7,07–12,952,81–8,179,88–21,13mai sigur6,24–13,782,07–8,918,31–22,69
Șuturi blocate
64%
14%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,042,586,62sigur2,16–5,920,93–4,243,09–10,16mai sigur1,61–6,460,44–4,732,05–11,19
Cornere
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,912,978,88sigur3,70–8,120,97–4,974,67–13,10mai sigur3,12–8,700,44–5,513,56–14,20
Posesie %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,6436,07sigur56,85–70,4329,29–42,86mai sigur55,18–72,1027,62–44,53
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție612340952sigur545–679273–406818–1085mai sigur527–698256–424782–1121
Precizie pase %
83%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,4968,71sigur72,46–80,5264,38–73,03mai sigur71,17–81,8263,07–74,34
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3812,6526,03sigur10,55–16,229,70–15,5920,25–31,81mai sigur9,79–16,988,95–16,3418,75–33,32
Ofsaiduri
60%
19%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,301,273,57sigur1,14–3,460,18–2,371,32–5,83mai sigur0,84–3,760,00–2,650,73–6,42
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,872,214,09sigur0,82–2,921,08–3,341,91–6,26mai sigur0,56–3,190,79–3,631,35–6,82
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,120,22sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,310,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,440,00–0,85
Parade portar
17%
14%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,873,565,42sigur0,43–3,302,00–5,112,43–8,42mai sigur0,04–3,691,58–5,541,62–9,23
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,82 0,85–2,79 0,60–3,04 | 0,77 0,00–1,62 0,00–1,85 | 2,58 0,76–4,41 0,28–4,89 | 62% 22% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,39 3,53–7,26 3,04–7,75 | 2,60 0,86–4,34 0,39–4,81 | 8,00 4,39–11,60 3,43–12,56 | 79% |
| Total șuturi | 15,95 12,03–19,88 10,94–20,97 | 8,73 5,17–12,30 4,21–13,26 | 24,69 17,20–32,17 15,15–34,22 | 91% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,01 7,07–12,95 6,24–13,78 | 5,49 2,81–8,17 2,07–8,91 | 15,50 9,88–21,13 8,31–22,69 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,04 2,16–5,92 1,61–6,46 | 2,58 0,93–4,24 0,44–4,73 | 6,62 3,09–10,16 2,05–11,19 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,91 3,70–8,12 3,12–8,70 | 2,97 0,97–4,97 0,44–5,51 | 8,88 4,67–13,10 3,56–14,20 | 80% |
| Posesie % | 63,64 56,85–70,43 55,18–72,10 | 36,07 29,29–42,86 27,62–44,53 | — | 94% |
| Pase | 612 545–679 527–698 | 340 273–406 256–424 | 952 818–1085 782–1121 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,49 72,46–80,52 71,17–81,82 | 68,71 64,38–73,03 63,07–74,34 | — | 83% 14% |
| Faulturi | 13,38 10,55–16,22 9,79–16,98 | 12,65 9,70–15,59 8,95–16,34 | 26,03 20,25–31,81 18,75–33,32 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,30 1,14–3,46 0,84–3,76 | 1,27 0,18–2,37 0,00–2,65 | 3,57 1,32–5,83 0,73–6,42 | 60% 19% 20% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,87 0,82–2,92 0,56–3,19 | 2,21 1,08–3,34 0,79–3,63 | 4,09 1,91–6,26 1,35–6,82 | 33% 20% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 1,87 0,43–3,30 0,04–3,69 | 3,56 2,00–5,11 1,58–5,54 | 5,42 2,43–8,42 1,62–9,23 | 17% 14% 69% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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