Primeira Liga·Etapa 18·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
28%
26%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,071,442,51sigur0,10–2,040,59–2,300,69–4,34mai sigur0,00–2,290,36–2,530,21–4,82
Șuturi pe poartă
30%
13%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,634,608,22sigur1,76–5,492,86–6,344,62–11,83mai sigur1,27–5,982,39–6,813,66–12,78
Total șuturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9113,0024,91sigur7,99–15,839,44–16,5717,42–32,40mai sigur6,89–16,938,48–17,5215,37–34,45
Șuturi din careu
26%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,728,7215,44sigur3,77–9,666,04–11,419,82–21,06mai sigur2,94–10,495,31–12,148,25–22,63
Șuturi blocate
36%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,773,105,87sigur0,89–4,661,44–4,752,34–9,41mai sigur0,35–5,200,95–5,241,30–10,44
Cornere
42%
13%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,714,809,51sigur2,50–6,932,80–6,805,30–13,73mai sigur1,93–7,502,27–7,334,19–14,84
Posesie %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,8649,02sigur44,07–57,6542,24–55,81mai sigur42,40–59,3240,57–57,48
Pase
55%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție431414844sigur363–498347–480711–978mai sigur345–516330–498675–1014
Precizie pase %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,8671,17sigur65,83–73,8966,84–75,49mai sigur64,54–75,1865,54–76,80
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4713,4526,92sigur10,64–16,3110,50–16,3921,14–32,71mai sigur9,88–17,079,76–17,1419,64–34,21
Ofsaiduri
43%
23%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,563,33sigur0,61–2,930,47–2,651,08–5,58mai sigur0,31–3,230,18–2,940,49–6,17
Cartonașe galbene
35%
19%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,102,394,48sigur1,05–3,151,26–3,522,31–6,66mai sigur0,78–3,410,97–3,811,75–7,22
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,140,25sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,330,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,460,00–0,88
Parade portar
47%
17%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,022,715,74sigur1,59–4,461,16–4,272,75–8,73mai sigur1,20–4,850,73–4,691,93–9,54
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,07 0,10–2,04 0,00–2,29 | 1,44 0,59–2,30 0,36–2,53 | 2,51 0,69–4,34 0,21–4,82 | 28% 26% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,63 1,76–5,49 1,27–5,98 | 4,60 2,86–6,34 2,39–6,81 | 8,22 4,62–11,83 3,66–12,78 | 30% 13% 56% |
| Total șuturi | 11,91 7,99–15,83 6,89–16,93 | 13,00 9,44–16,57 8,48–17,52 | 24,91 17,42–32,40 15,37–34,45 | 37% 55% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,72 3,77–9,66 2,94–10,49 | 8,72 6,04–11,41 5,31–12,14 | 15,44 9,82–21,06 8,25–22,63 | 26% 65% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,77 0,89–4,66 0,35–5,20 | 3,10 1,44–4,75 0,95–5,24 | 5,87 2,34–9,41 1,30–10,44 | 36% 17% 47% |
| Cornere | 4,71 2,50–6,93 1,93–7,50 | 4,80 2,80–6,80 2,27–7,33 | 9,51 5,30–13,73 4,19–14,84 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Posesie % | 50,86 44,07–57,65 42,40–59,32 | 49,02 42,24–55,81 40,57–57,48 | — | 52% 43% |
| Pase | 431 363–498 345–516 | 414 347–480 330–498 | 844 711–978 675–1014 | 55% 44% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,86 65,83–73,89 64,54–75,18 | 71,17 66,84–75,49 65,54–76,80 | — | 41% 54% |
| Faulturi | 13,47 10,64–16,31 9,88–17,07 | 13,45 10,50–16,39 9,76–17,14 | 26,92 21,14–32,71 19,64–34,21 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,77 0,61–2,93 0,31–3,23 | 1,56 0,47–2,65 0,18–2,94 | 3,33 1,08–5,58 0,49–6,17 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,10 1,05–3,15 0,78–3,41 | 2,39 1,26–3,52 0,97–3,81 | 4,48 2,31–6,66 1,75–7,22 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,25 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 3,02 1,59–4,46 1,20–4,85 | 2,71 1,16–4,27 0,73–4,69 | 5,74 2,75–8,73 1,93–9,54 | 47% 17% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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