Primeira Liga·Etapa 18·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
26%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,151,452,60sigur0,18–2,120,59–2,300,77–4,42mai sigur0,00–2,370,37–2,530,29–4,90
Șuturi pe poartă
30%
13%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,664,668,32sigur1,79–5,522,92–6,404,71–11,92mai sigur1,30–6,012,45–6,873,76–12,88
Total șuturi
34%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7613,3925,15sigur7,84–15,699,83–16,9517,66–32,64mai sigur6,74–16,788,87–17,9115,61–34,69
Șuturi din careu
27%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,818,7615,57sigur3,87–9,756,08–11,449,95–21,19mai sigur3,04–10,585,34–12,188,38–22,76
Șuturi blocate
39%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,103,316,41sigur1,22–4,981,66–4,972,88–9,95mai sigur0,67–5,521,17–5,461,84–10,98
Cornere
39%
13%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,514,899,40sigur2,29–6,722,89–6,895,19–13,61mai sigur1,72–7,292,36–7,424,08–14,72
Posesie %
34%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,1153,12sigur40,31–53,9046,34–59,91mai sigur38,65–55,5644,67–61,58
Pase
29%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție412477889sigur345–480410–543756–1023mai sigur327–498393–561720–1059
Precizie pase %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,6075,54sigur66,57–74,6371,22–79,87mai sigur65,28–75,9269,91–81,18
Faulturi
43%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3113,7727,09sigur10,48–16,1510,83–16,7221,31–32,87mai sigur9,72–16,9110,08–17,4719,80–34,38
Ofsaiduri
41%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,412,96sigur0,39–2,710,32–2,500,70–5,21mai sigur0,09–3,010,03–2,790,11–5,80
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,092,154,24sigur1,04–3,141,02–3,282,06–6,42mai sigur0,78–3,410,73–3,571,50–6,98
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
52%
17%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,072,445,52sigur1,64–4,510,89–4,002,53–8,51mai sigur1,25–4,900,46–4,421,71–9,32
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,15 0,18–2,12 0,00–2,37 | 1,45 0,59–2,30 0,37–2,53 | 2,60 0,77–4,42 0,29–4,90 | 30% 26% 44% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,66 1,79–5,52 1,30–6,01 | 4,66 2,92–6,40 2,45–6,87 | 8,32 4,71–11,92 3,76–12,88 | 30% 13% 57% |
| Total șuturi | 11,76 7,84–15,69 6,74–16,78 | 13,39 9,83–16,95 8,87–17,91 | 25,15 17,66–32,64 15,61–34,69 | 34% 59% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,81 3,87–9,75 3,04–10,58 | 8,76 6,08–11,44 5,34–12,18 | 15,57 9,95–21,19 8,38–22,76 | 27% 64% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,10 1,22–4,98 0,67–5,52 | 3,31 1,66–4,97 1,17–5,46 | 6,41 2,88–9,95 1,84–10,98 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Cornere | 4,51 2,29–6,72 1,72–7,29 | 4,89 2,89–6,89 2,36–7,42 | 9,40 5,19–13,61 4,08–14,72 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Posesie % | 47,11 40,31–53,90 38,65–55,56 | 53,12 46,34–59,91 44,67–61,58 | — | 34% 62% |
| Pase | 412 345–480 327–498 | 477 410–543 393–561 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 29% 70% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,60 66,57–74,63 65,28–75,92 | 75,54 71,22–79,87 69,91–81,18 | — | 24% 72% |
| Faulturi | 13,31 10,48–16,15 9,72–16,91 | 13,77 10,83–16,72 10,08–17,47 | 27,09 21,31–32,87 19,80–34,38 | 43% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,55 0,39–2,71 0,09–3,01 | 1,41 0,32–2,50 0,03–2,79 | 2,96 0,70–5,21 0,11–5,80 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,09 1,04–3,14 0,78–3,41 | 2,15 1,02–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 4,24 2,06–6,42 1,50–6,98 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,07 1,64–4,51 1,25–4,90 | 2,44 0,89–4,00 0,46–4,42 | 5,52 2,53–8,51 1,71–9,32 | 52% 17% 31% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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