Primeira Liga·Etapa 18·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,840,613,46sigur1,87–3,810,00–1,471,63–5,28mai sigur1,62–4,060,00–1,701,15–5,76
Șuturi pe poartă
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,222,319,53sigur5,36–9,090,56–4,055,93–13,14mai sigur4,87–9,580,10–4,524,97–14,09
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,937,8526,78sigur15,00–22,854,29–11,4219,29–34,27mai sigur13,91–23,943,33–12,3817,24–36,32
Șuturi din careu
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,804,5017,30sigur9,86–15,751,82–7,1811,68–22,92mai sigur9,03–16,581,08–7,9110,11–24,49
Șuturi blocate
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,371,846,20sigur2,48–6,250,18–3,492,67–9,74mai sigur1,94–6,790,00–3,981,63–10,77
Cornere
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,152,779,92sigur4,94–9,360,77–4,775,71–14,14mai sigur4,36–9,940,24–5,314,60–15,24
Posesie %
97%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,8734,00sigur59,08–72,6627,21–40,78mai sigur57,41–74,3325,54–42,46
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție609310919sigur542–676243–376785–1052mai sigur523–694226–394749–1088
Precizie pase %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție81,6368,78sigur77,60–85,6664,46–73,10mai sigur76,31–86,9563,15–74,41
Faulturi
29%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8614,2426,10sigur9,02–14,6911,30–17,1920,32–31,88mai sigur8,26–15,4510,55–17,9418,82–33,39
Ofsaiduri
47%
25%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,152,74sigur0,43–2,750,06–2,250,49–5,00mai sigur0,13–3,050,00–2,530,00–5,59
Cartonașe galbene
27%
19%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,792,524,31sigur0,74–2,841,39–3,642,13–6,49mai sigur0,48–3,111,10–3,941,57–7,04
Cartonașe roșii
80%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,170,24sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,350,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,490,00–0,87
Parade portar
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,754,276,01sigur0,31–3,182,71–5,823,02–9,01mai sigur0,00–3,572,29–6,252,21–9,82
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,84 1,87–3,81 1,62–4,06 | 0,61 0,00–1,47 0,00–1,70 | 3,46 1,63–5,28 1,15–5,76 | 83% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,22 5,36–9,09 4,87–9,58 | 2,31 0,56–4,05 0,10–4,52 | 9,53 5,93–13,14 4,97–14,09 | 93% |
| Total șuturi | 18,93 15,00–22,85 13,91–23,94 | 7,85 4,29–11,42 3,33–12,38 | 26,78 19,29–34,27 17,24–36,32 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,80 9,86–15,75 9,03–16,58 | 4,50 1,82–7,18 1,08–7,91 | 17,30 11,68–22,92 10,11–24,49 | 97% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,37 2,48–6,25 1,94–6,79 | 1,84 0,18–3,49 0,00–3,98 | 6,20 2,67–9,74 1,63–10,77 | 80% |
| Cornere | 7,15 4,94–9,36 4,36–9,94 | 2,77 0,77–4,77 0,24–5,31 | 9,92 5,71–14,14 4,60–15,24 | 90% |
| Posesie % | 65,87 59,08–72,66 57,41–74,33 | 34,00 27,21–40,78 25,54–42,46 | — | 97% |
| Pase | 609 542–676 523–694 | 310 243–376 226–394 | 919 785–1052 749–1088 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 81,63 77,60–85,66 76,31–86,95 | 68,78 64,46–73,10 63,15–74,41 | — | 94% |
| Faulturi | 11,86 9,02–14,69 8,26–15,45 | 14,24 11,30–17,19 10,55–17,94 | 26,10 20,32–31,88 18,82–33,39 | 29% 64% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,05 | 1,15 0,06–2,25 0,00–2,53 | 2,74 0,49–5,00 0,00–5,59 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,79 0,74–2,84 0,48–3,11 | 2,52 1,39–3,64 1,10–3,94 | 4,31 2,13–6,49 1,57–7,04 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,17 0,00–0,35 0,00–0,49 | 0,24 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,87 | 80% 14% |
| Parade portar | 1,75 0,31–3,18 0,00–3,57 | 4,27 2,71–5,82 2,29–6,25 | 6,01 3,02–9,01 2,21–9,82 | 80% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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