Primeira Liga·Etapa 19·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
27%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,081,382,46sigur0,12–2,050,52–2,230,64–4,28mai sigur0,00–2,300,29–2,460,16–4,76
Șuturi pe poartă
37%
14%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,824,258,07sigur1,96–5,682,50–5,994,46–11,67mai sigur1,47–6,172,04–6,453,51–12,63
Total șuturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1511,3123,47sigur8,23–16,087,75–14,8815,98–30,96mai sigur7,14–17,176,79–15,8413,93–33,01
Șuturi din careu
40%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,367,8015,16sigur4,41–10,305,12–10,489,53–20,78mai sigur3,58–11,134,38–11,227,97–22,35
Șuturi blocate
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,273,186,45sigur1,39–5,151,53–4,842,92–9,99mai sigur0,84–5,691,04–5,331,88–11,02
Cornere
47%
13%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,734,459,18sigur2,52–6,942,45–6,454,97–13,40mai sigur1,94–7,521,92–6,993,86–14,50
Posesie %
27%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,8554,99sigur39,06–52,6448,21–61,78mai sigur37,39–54,3146,54–63,45
Pase
24%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție449535984sigur382–517468–601850–1118mai sigur364–535451–618815–1153
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,3978,16sigur66,36–74,4273,83–82,48mai sigur65,07–75,7172,53–83,79
Faulturi
49%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7312,4025,13sigur9,89–15,569,46–15,3519,35–30,91mai sigur9,13–16,328,71–16,0917,84–32,41
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,623,32sigur0,54–2,860,53–2,721,07–5,58mai sigur0,24–3,160,24–3,000,48–6,17
Cartonașe galbene
39%
21%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,973,93sigur0,91–3,010,84–3,101,75–6,11mai sigur0,65–3,280,55–3,391,19–6,67
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
43%
18%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,742,665,41sigur1,31–4,181,11–4,222,41–8,40mai sigur0,92–4,570,68–4,641,60–9,21
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,08 0,12–2,05 0,00–2,30 | 1,38 0,52–2,23 0,29–2,46 | 2,46 0,64–4,28 0,16–4,76 | 30% 27% 44% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,82 1,96–5,68 1,47–6,17 | 4,25 2,50–5,99 2,04–6,45 | 8,07 4,46–11,67 3,51–12,63 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total șuturi | 12,15 8,23–16,08 7,14–17,17 | 11,31 7,75–14,88 6,79–15,84 | 23,47 15,98–30,96 13,93–33,01 | 53% 39% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,36 4,41–10,30 3,58–11,13 | 7,80 5,12–10,48 4,38–11,22 | 15,16 9,53–20,78 7,97–22,35 | 40% 49% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,27 1,39–5,15 0,84–5,69 | 3,18 1,53–4,84 1,04–5,33 | 6,45 2,92–9,99 1,88–11,02 | 43% 16% 41% |
| Cornere | 4,73 2,52–6,94 1,94–7,52 | 4,45 2,45–6,45 1,92–6,99 | 9,18 4,97–13,40 3,86–14,50 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Posesie % | 45,85 39,06–52,64 37,39–54,31 | 54,99 48,21–61,78 46,54–63,45 | — | 27% 68% |
| Pase | 449 382–517 364–535 | 535 468–601 451–618 | 984 850–1118 815–1153 | 24% 76% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,39 66,36–74,42 65,07–75,71 | 78,16 73,83–82,48 72,53–83,79 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 12,73 9,89–15,56 9,13–16,32 | 12,40 9,46–15,35 8,71–16,09 | 25,13 19,35–30,91 17,84–32,41 | 49% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,70 0,54–2,86 0,24–3,16 | 1,62 0,53–2,72 0,24–3,00 | 3,32 1,07–5,58 0,48–6,17 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,96 0,91–3,01 0,65–3,28 | 1,97 0,84–3,10 0,55–3,39 | 3,93 1,75–6,11 1,19–6,67 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,74 1,31–4,18 0,92–4,57 | 2,66 1,11–4,22 0,68–4,64 | 5,41 2,41–8,40 1,60–9,21 | 43% 18% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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