Primeira Liga·Etapa 20·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
28%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,261,112,37sigur0,29–2,230,25–1,960,54–4,19mai sigur0,04–2,480,03–2,190,07–4,67
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
14%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,383,888,26sigur2,52–6,242,14–5,624,65–11,86mai sigur2,03–6,731,67–6,093,70–12,82
Total șuturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0012,4825,48sigur9,08–16,938,92–16,0417,99–32,97mai sigur7,99–18,027,96–17,0015,94–35,02
Șuturi din careu
48%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,527,2314,75sigur4,58–10,464,55–9,919,13–20,37mai sigur3,75–11,293,81–10,657,56–21,94
Șuturi blocate
46%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,222,966,17sigur1,33–5,101,30–4,612,64–9,71mai sigur0,79–5,640,81–5,101,60–10,74
Cornere
51%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,954,379,32sigur2,74–7,162,37–6,375,11–13,54mai sigur2,16–7,741,84–6,914,00–14,64
Posesie %
64%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,7746,69sigur46,98–60,5639,91–53,48mai sigur45,31–62,2338,24–55,15
Pase
72%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție463394857sigur396–531328–461724–991mai sigur378–549310–478688–1027
Precizie pase %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,0970,03sigur67,06–75,1265,70–74,35mai sigur65,77–76,4164,39–75,66
Faulturi
31%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7514,7827,52sigur9,91–15,5811,83–17,7221,74–33,31mai sigur9,15–16,3411,08–18,4720,24–34,81
Ofsaiduri
43%
24%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,362,97sigur0,45–2,770,26–2,450,71–5,22mai sigur0,15–3,070,00–2,740,12–5,81
Cartonașe galbene
35%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,032,314,34sigur0,98–3,081,18–3,432,16–6,51mai sigur0,72–3,350,89–3,731,60–7,07
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,120,23sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,310,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,440,00–0,86
Parade portar
36%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,743,095,84sigur1,31–4,181,54–4,652,84–8,83mai sigur0,92–4,571,11–5,082,03–9,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,26 0,29–2,23 0,04–2,48 | 1,11 0,25–1,96 0,03–2,19 | 2,37 0,54–4,19 0,07–4,67 | 40% 28% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,38 2,52–6,24 2,03–6,73 | 3,88 2,14–5,62 1,67–6,09 | 8,26 4,65–11,86 3,70–12,82 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 13,00 9,08–16,93 7,99–18,02 | 12,48 8,92–16,04 7,96–17,00 | 25,48 17,99–32,97 15,94–35,02 | 50% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,52 4,58–10,46 3,75–11,29 | 7,23 4,55–9,91 3,81–10,65 | 14,75 9,13–20,37 7,56–21,94 | 48% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,22 1,33–5,10 0,79–5,64 | 2,96 1,30–4,61 0,81–5,10 | 6,17 2,64–9,71 1,60–10,74 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Cornere | 4,95 2,74–7,16 2,16–7,74 | 4,37 2,37–6,37 1,84–6,91 | 9,32 5,11–13,54 4,00–14,64 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Posesie % | 53,77 46,98–60,56 45,31–62,23 | 46,69 39,91–53,48 38,24–55,15 | — | 64% 32% |
| Pase | 463 396–531 378–549 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 857 724–991 688–1027 | 72% 28% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,09 67,06–75,12 65,77–76,41 | 70,03 65,70–74,35 64,39–75,66 | — | 53% 42% |
| Faulturi | 12,75 9,91–15,58 9,15–16,34 | 14,78 11,83–17,72 11,08–18,47 | 27,52 21,74–33,31 20,24–34,81 | 31% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,07 | 1,36 0,26–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 2,97 0,71–5,22 0,12–5,81 | 43% 24% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,03 0,98–3,08 0,72–3,35 | 2,31 1,18–3,43 0,89–3,73 | 4,34 2,16–6,51 1,60–7,07 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,74 1,31–4,18 0,92–4,57 | 3,09 1,54–4,65 1,11–5,08 | 5,84 2,84–8,83 2,03–9,64 | 36% 17% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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