Primeira Liga·Etapa 20·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
26%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,151,432,58sigur0,19–2,120,57–2,280,76–4,40mai sigur0,00–2,370,34–2,510,28–4,88
Șuturi pe poartă
37%
14%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,174,628,79sigur2,30–6,032,88–6,365,18–12,39mai sigur1,82–6,522,41–6,834,23–13,35
Total șuturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3213,2826,60sigur9,39–17,249,72–16,8519,11–34,09mai sigur8,30–18,338,76–17,8117,06–36,14
Șuturi din careu
37%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,088,9917,06sigur5,14–11,026,31–11,6711,44–22,69mai sigur4,31–11,855,57–12,409,87–24,25
Șuturi blocate
48%
15%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,743,387,11sigur1,85–5,621,72–5,033,58–10,65mai sigur1,31–6,161,23–5,522,54–11,68
Cornere
46%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,104,9410,04sigur2,89–7,312,94–6,945,82–14,25mai sigur2,31–7,892,40–7,474,72–15,36
Posesie %
20%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,5457,07sigur36,75–50,3350,29–63,85mai sigur35,08–52,0048,61–65,53
Pase
15%
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție355478834sigur288–423412–545700–967mai sigur270–441394–562664–1003
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,0673,57sigur61,03–69,0969,24–77,89mai sigur59,74–70,3867,94–79,20
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4613,8827,34sigur10,62–16,2910,94–16,8221,56–33,12mai sigur9,86–17,0510,19–17,5720,05–34,62
Ofsaiduri
40%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,422,95sigur0,38–2,700,33–2,510,70–5,21mai sigur0,07–3,000,04–2,800,11–5,80
Cartonașe galbene
38%
20%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,032,144,17sigur0,98–3,081,01–3,271,99–6,34mai sigur0,71–3,340,72–3,561,43–6,90
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
48%
17%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,062,685,74sigur1,62–4,501,12–4,242,75–8,73mai sigur1,24–4,880,70–4,661,94–9,55
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,15 0,19–2,12 0,00–2,37 | 1,43 0,57–2,28 0,34–2,51 | 2,58 0,76–4,40 0,28–4,88 | 30% 26% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,17 2,30–6,03 1,82–6,52 | 4,62 2,88–6,36 2,41–6,83 | 8,79 5,18–12,39 4,23–13,35 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total șuturi | 13,32 9,39–17,24 8,30–18,33 | 13,28 9,72–16,85 8,76–17,81 | 26,60 19,11–34,09 17,06–36,14 | 46% 46% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,08 5,14–11,02 4,31–11,85 | 8,99 6,31–11,67 5,57–12,40 | 17,06 11,44–22,69 9,87–24,25 | 37% 54% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,74 1,85–5,62 1,31–6,16 | 3,38 1,72–5,03 1,23–5,52 | 7,11 3,58–10,65 2,54–11,68 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,10 2,89–7,31 2,31–7,89 | 4,94 2,94–6,94 2,40–7,47 | 10,04 5,82–14,25 4,72–15,36 | 46% 42% |
| Posesie % | 43,54 36,75–50,33 35,08–52,00 | 57,07 50,29–63,85 48,61–65,53 | — | 20% 77% |
| Pase | 355 288–423 270–441 | 478 412–545 394–562 | 834 700–967 664–1003 | 15% 85% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,06 61,03–69,09 59,74–70,38 | 73,57 69,24–77,89 67,94–79,20 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 13,46 10,62–16,29 9,86–17,05 | 13,88 10,94–16,82 10,19–17,57 | 27,34 21,56–33,12 20,05–34,62 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,07–3,00 | 1,42 0,33–2,51 0,04–2,80 | 2,95 0,70–5,21 0,11–5,80 | 40% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,03 0,98–3,08 0,71–3,34 | 2,14 1,01–3,27 0,72–3,56 | 4,17 1,99–6,34 1,43–6,90 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,06 1,62–4,50 1,24–4,88 | 2,68 1,12–4,24 0,70–4,66 | 5,74 2,75–8,73 1,94–9,55 | 48% 17% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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