Primeira Liga·Etapa 20·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
27%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,420,982,41sigur0,45–2,390,13–1,840,58–4,23mai sigur0,20–2,640,00–2,070,10–4,71
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
14%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,483,417,89sigur2,62–6,341,67–5,154,28–11,49mai sigur2,13–6,831,20–5,623,33–12,45
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9810,5024,49sigur10,06–17,916,94–14,0717,00–31,98mai sigur8,97–19,005,98–15,0314,95–34,03
Șuturi din careu
58%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,357,0415,38sigur5,40–11,294,36–9,729,76–21,01mai sigur4,57–12,123,62–10,468,19–22,57
Șuturi blocate
61%
15%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,382,215,60sigur1,50–5,260,56–3,872,06–9,13mai sigur0,96–5,810,07–4,361,03–10,17
Cornere
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,993,869,86sigur3,78–8,211,86–5,865,64–14,07mai sigur3,21–8,781,33–6,404,54–15,18
Posesie %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,5742,95sigur49,78–63,3636,17–49,74mai sigur48,11–65,0334,50–51,41
Pase
83%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție476360836sigur409–544293–426703–970mai sigur391–562276–444667–1006
Precizie pase %
68%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,5669,37sigur69,53–77,5965,04–73,69mai sigur68,24–78,8863,73–75,00
Faulturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5215,5529,07sigur10,68–16,3612,60–18,4923,29–34,85mai sigur9,93–17,1111,86–19,2421,78–36,36
Ofsaiduri
51%
23%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,293,16sigur0,71–3,030,19–2,380,90–5,41mai sigur0,41–3,330,00–2,670,31–6,00
Cartonașe galbene
29%
18%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,092,764,85sigur1,04–3,141,63–3,892,67–7,03mai sigur0,77–3,411,34–4,182,11–7,58
Cartonașe roșii
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,160,29sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,350,00–0,64mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,480,00–0,92
Parade portar
31%
17%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,433,055,48sigur0,99–3,871,49–4,612,49–8,47mai sigur0,61–4,251,07–5,031,67–9,28
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,42 0,45–2,39 0,20–2,64 | 0,98 0,13–1,84 0,00–2,07 | 2,41 0,58–4,23 0,10–4,71 | 47% 27% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,48 2,62–6,34 2,13–6,83 | 3,41 1,67–5,15 1,20–5,62 | 7,89 4,28–11,49 3,33–12,45 | 58% 14% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 13,98 10,06–17,91 8,97–19,00 | 10,50 6,94–14,07 5,98–15,03 | 24,49 17,00–31,98 14,95–34,03 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,35 5,40–11,29 4,57–12,12 | 7,04 4,36–9,72 3,62–10,46 | 15,38 9,76–21,01 8,19–22,57 | 58% 32% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,38 1,50–5,26 0,96–5,81 | 2,21 0,56–3,87 0,07–4,36 | 5,60 2,06–9,13 1,03–10,17 | 61% 15% 24% |
| Cornere | 5,99 3,78–8,21 3,21–8,78 | 3,86 1,86–5,86 1,33–6,40 | 9,86 5,64–14,07 4,54–15,18 | 70% 20% |
| Posesie % | 56,57 49,78–63,36 48,11–65,03 | 42,95 36,17–49,74 34,50–51,41 | — | 77% 19% |
| Pase | 476 409–544 391–562 | 360 293–426 276–444 | 836 703–970 667–1006 | 83% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,56 69,53–77,59 68,24–78,88 | 69,37 65,04–73,69 63,73–75,00 | — | 68% 27% |
| Faulturi | 13,52 10,68–16,36 9,93–17,11 | 15,55 12,60–18,49 11,86–19,24 | 29,07 23,29–34,85 21,78–36,36 | 32% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,87 0,71–3,03 0,41–3,33 | 1,29 0,19–2,38 0,00–2,67 | 3,16 0,90–5,41 0,31–6,00 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,09 1,04–3,14 0,77–3,41 | 2,76 1,63–3,89 1,34–4,18 | 4,85 2,67–7,03 2,11–7,58 | 29% 18% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,16 0,00–0,35 0,00–0,48 | 0,29 0,00–0,64 0,00–0,92 | 76% |
| Parade portar | 2,43 0,99–3,87 0,61–4,25 | 3,05 1,49–4,61 1,07–5,03 | 5,48 2,49–8,47 1,67–9,28 | 31% 17% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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