Primeira Liga·Etapa 20·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
19%
23%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,911,762,68sigur0,00–1,880,91–2,620,85–4,50mai sigur0,00–2,130,68–2,840,37–4,98
Șuturi pe poartă
21%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,615,559,16sigur1,74–5,473,81–7,295,55–12,76mai sigur1,25–5,963,34–7,764,60–13,72
Total șuturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7815,1926,97sigur7,86–15,7011,63–18,7519,48–34,46mai sigur6,76–16,8010,67–19,7117,43–36,51
Șuturi din careu
19%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,529,5416,06sigur3,58–9,466,86–12,2210,44–21,68mai sigur2,75–10,296,12–12,968,87–23,25
Șuturi blocate
30%
15%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,863,686,54sigur0,98–4,742,03–5,343,01–10,08mai sigur0,43–5,281,54–5,831,97–11,11
Cornere
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,105,9210,02sigur1,89–6,313,92–7,925,80–14,23mai sigur1,31–6,893,39–8,454,70–15,34
Posesie %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,2254,65sigur38,43–52,0147,86–61,43mai sigur36,76–53,6846,19–63,10
Pase
35%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție401446847sigur334–468380–513713–981mai sigur315–486362–530678–1016
Precizie pase %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,7474,12sigur64,71–72,7769,79–78,44mai sigur63,42–74,0768,48–79,75
Faulturi
24%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2614,3025,56sigur8,42–14,1011,35–17,2419,78–31,34mai sigur7,67–14,8610,60–17,9918,27–32,84
Ofsaiduri
43%
22%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,713,63sigur0,75–3,070,62–2,811,37–5,88mai sigur0,45–3,380,33–3,090,78–6,47
Cartonașe galbene
27%
19%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,792,524,31sigur0,74–2,831,39–3,652,13–6,48mai sigur0,47–3,101,10–3,941,57–7,04
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,150,26sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,340,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,470,00–0,89
Parade portar
58%
15%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,562,556,11sigur2,12–4,991,00–4,113,12–9,10mai sigur1,73–5,380,57–4,542,31–9,92
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,91 0,00–1,88 0,00–2,13 | 1,76 0,91–2,62 0,68–2,84 | 2,68 0,85–4,50 0,37–4,98 | 19% 23% 57% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,61 1,74–5,47 1,25–5,96 | 5,55 3,81–7,29 3,34–7,76 | 9,16 5,55–12,76 4,60–13,72 | 21% 68% |
| Total șuturi | 11,78 7,86–15,70 6,76–16,80 | 15,19 11,63–18,75 10,67–19,71 | 26,97 19,48–34,46 17,43–36,51 | 23% 71% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,52 3,58–9,46 2,75–10,29 | 9,54 6,86–12,22 6,12–12,96 | 16,06 10,44–21,68 8,87–23,25 | 19% 74% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,86 0,98–4,74 0,43–5,28 | 3,68 2,03–5,34 1,54–5,83 | 6,54 3,01–10,08 1,97–11,11 | 30% 15% 55% |
| Cornere | 4,10 1,89–6,31 1,31–6,89 | 5,92 3,92–7,92 3,39–8,45 | 10,02 5,80–14,23 4,70–15,34 | 23% 66% |
| Posesie % | 45,22 38,43–52,01 36,76–53,68 | 54,65 47,86–61,43 46,19–63,10 | — | 27% 69% |
| Pase | 401 334–468 315–486 | 446 380–513 362–530 | 847 713–981 678–1016 | 35% 65% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,74 64,71–72,77 63,42–74,07 | 74,12 69,79–78,44 68,48–79,75 | — | 22% 74% |
| Faulturi | 11,26 8,42–14,10 7,67–14,86 | 14,30 11,35–17,24 10,60–17,99 | 25,56 19,78–31,34 18,27–32,84 | 24% 69% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,91 0,75–3,07 0,45–3,38 | 1,71 0,62–2,81 0,33–3,09 | 3,63 1,37–5,88 0,78–6,47 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,79 0,74–2,83 0,47–3,10 | 2,52 1,39–3,65 1,10–3,94 | 4,31 2,13–6,48 1,57–7,04 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,26 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,89 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 3,56 2,12–4,99 1,73–5,38 | 2,55 1,00–4,11 0,57–4,54 | 6,11 3,12–9,10 2,31–9,92 | 58% 15% 27% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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