Primeira Liga·Etapa 21·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
27%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,251,182,43sigur0,28–2,220,32–2,030,60–4,25mai sigur0,03–2,470,09–2,260,12–4,73
Șuturi pe poartă
49%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,323,898,21sigur2,46–6,182,15–5,634,60–11,81mai sigur1,97–6,671,68–6,103,65–12,77
Total șuturi
61%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5811,6125,19sigur9,65–17,508,05–15,1717,70–32,68mai sigur8,56–18,597,09–16,1315,65–34,73
Șuturi din careu
53%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,367,5515,91sigur5,42–11,304,87–10,2310,29–21,54mai sigur4,59–12,134,13–10,978,72–23,10
Șuturi blocate
56%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,782,866,64sigur1,90–5,661,20–4,513,10–10,17mai sigur1,35–6,210,71–5,002,07–11,21
Cornere
53%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,114,389,49sigur2,90–7,332,38–6,385,28–13,70mai sigur2,33–7,901,84–6,914,17–14,81
Posesie %
61%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,3047,35sigur46,51–60,0940,57–54,14mai sigur44,84–61,7638,90–55,81
Pase
73%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție409337747sigur342–477271–404613–880mai sigur324–495253–421577–916
Precizie pase %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,4769,86sigur64,44–72,5065,54–74,19mai sigur63,15–73,7964,23–75,50
Faulturi
38%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2115,3929,60sigur11,37–17,0512,45–18,3423,82–35,38mai sigur10,62–17,8011,70–19,0922,32–36,89
Ofsaiduri
27%
22%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,913,25sigur0,18–2,500,81–3,000,99–5,50mai sigur0,00–2,800,52–3,290,40–6,09
Cartonașe galbene
36%
18%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,472,805,28sigur1,42–3,521,67–3,933,10–7,45mai sigur1,16–3,791,38–4,222,54–8,01
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,140,25sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,330,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,460,00–0,88
Parade portar
37%
17%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,733,035,76sigur1,30–4,171,47–4,592,77–8,76mai sigur0,91–4,561,05–5,011,96–9,57
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,25 0,28–2,22 0,03–2,47 | 1,18 0,32–2,03 0,09–2,26 | 2,43 0,60–4,25 0,12–4,73 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,32 2,46–6,18 1,97–6,67 | 3,89 2,15–5,63 1,68–6,10 | 8,21 4,60–11,81 3,65–12,77 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 13,58 9,65–17,50 8,56–18,59 | 11,61 8,05–15,17 7,09–16,13 | 25,19 17,70–32,68 15,65–34,73 | 61% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,36 5,42–11,30 4,59–12,13 | 7,55 4,87–10,23 4,13–10,97 | 15,91 10,29–21,54 8,72–23,10 | 53% 37% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,78 1,90–5,66 1,35–6,21 | 2,86 1,20–4,51 0,71–5,00 | 6,64 3,10–10,17 2,07–11,21 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,11 2,90–7,33 2,33–7,90 | 4,38 2,38–6,38 1,84–6,91 | 9,49 5,28–13,70 4,17–14,81 | 53% 34% |
| Posesie % | 53,30 46,51–60,09 44,84–61,76 | 47,35 40,57–54,14 38,90–55,81 | — | 61% 34% |
| Pase | 409 342–477 324–495 | 337 271–404 253–421 | 747 613–880 577–916 | 73% 27% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,47 64,44–72,50 63,15–73,79 | 69,86 65,54–74,19 64,23–75,50 | — | 40% 55% |
| Faulturi | 14,21 11,37–17,05 10,62–17,80 | 15,39 12,45–18,34 11,70–19,09 | 29,60 23,82–35,38 22,32–36,89 | 38% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,34 0,18–2,50 0,00–2,80 | 1,91 0,81–3,00 0,52–3,29 | 3,25 0,99–5,50 0,40–6,09 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,47 1,42–3,52 1,16–3,79 | 2,80 1,67–3,93 1,38–4,22 | 5,28 3,10–7,45 2,54–8,01 | 36% 18% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,25 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 2,73 1,30–4,17 0,91–4,56 | 3,03 1,47–4,59 1,05–5,01 | 5,76 2,77–8,76 1,96–9,57 | 37% 17% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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