Primeira Liga·Etapa 22·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
27%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,161,372,54sigur0,19–2,130,52–2,230,71–4,36mai sigur0,00–2,380,29–2,460,23–4,84
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
14%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,764,478,23sigur1,90–5,622,73–6,224,63–11,84mai sigur1,41–6,112,26–6,683,67–12,79
Total șuturi
29%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4513,6925,14sigur7,52–15,3710,13–17,2517,65–32,63mai sigur6,43–16,469,17–18,2115,60–34,68
Șuturi din careu
27%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,898,8315,72sigur3,95–9,836,15–11,5110,10–21,34mai sigur3,12–10,665,41–12,258,53–22,91
Șuturi blocate
33%
16%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,833,406,23sigur0,95–4,721,75–5,052,70–9,77mai sigur0,41–5,261,25–5,541,66–10,80
Cornere
37%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,484,999,48sigur2,27–6,702,99–7,005,27–13,69mai sigur1,70–7,272,46–7,534,16–14,80
Posesie %
46%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7150,53sigur42,92–56,5043,74–57,31mai sigur41,25–58,1742,07–58,98
Pase
46%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție412425836sigur345–479358–491703–970mai sigur326–497341–509667–1006
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,3572,40sigur65,32–73,3868,08–76,73mai sigur64,03–74,6766,77–78,04
Faulturi
43%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3714,8829,25sigur11,53–17,2111,93–17,8223,47–35,03mai sigur10,78–17,9711,18–18,5721,96–36,54
Ofsaiduri
50%
23%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,841,333,17sigur0,68–3,000,23–2,420,92–5,42mai sigur0,38–3,300,00–2,710,33–6,01
Cartonașe galbene
40%
19%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,322,334,66sigur1,27–3,371,21–3,462,48–6,83mai sigur1,01–3,640,91–3,751,92–7,39
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,130,24sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,310,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,450,00–0,87
Parade portar
49%
17%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,142,705,84sigur1,71–4,581,14–4,262,85–8,83mai sigur1,32–4,970,72–4,682,04–9,65
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,16 0,19–2,13 0,00–2,38 | 1,37 0,52–2,23 0,29–2,46 | 2,54 0,71–4,36 0,23–4,84 | 32% 27% 42% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,76 1,90–5,62 1,41–6,11 | 4,47 2,73–6,22 2,26–6,68 | 8,23 4,63–11,84 3,67–12,79 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 11,45 7,52–15,37 6,43–16,46 | 13,69 10,13–17,25 9,17–18,21 | 25,14 17,65–32,63 15,60–34,68 | 29% 64% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,89 3,95–9,83 3,12–10,66 | 8,83 6,15–11,51 5,41–12,25 | 15,72 10,10–21,34 8,53–22,91 | 27% 64% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,83 0,95–4,72 0,41–5,26 | 3,40 1,75–5,05 1,25–5,54 | 6,23 2,70–9,77 1,66–10,80 | 33% 16% 51% |
| Cornere | 4,48 2,27–6,70 1,70–7,27 | 4,99 2,99–7,00 2,46–7,53 | 9,48 5,27–13,69 4,16–14,80 | 37% 50% |
| Posesie % | 49,71 42,92–56,50 41,25–58,17 | 50,53 43,74–57,31 42,07–58,98 | — | 46% 50% |
| Pase | 412 345–479 326–497 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 836 703–970 667–1006 | 46% 54% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,35 65,32–73,38 64,03–74,67 | 72,40 68,08–76,73 66,77–78,04 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 14,37 11,53–17,21 10,78–17,97 | 14,88 11,93–17,82 11,18–18,57 | 29,25 23,47–35,03 21,96–36,54 | 43% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,84 0,68–3,00 0,38–3,30 | 1,33 0,23–2,42 0,00–2,71 | 3,17 0,92–5,42 0,33–6,01 | 50% 23% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,32 1,27–3,37 1,01–3,64 | 2,33 1,21–3,46 0,91–3,75 | 4,66 2,48–6,83 1,92–7,39 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,24 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,14 1,71–4,58 1,32–4,97 | 2,70 1,14–4,26 0,72–4,68 | 5,84 2,85–8,83 2,04–9,65 | 49% 17% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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