Primeira Liga·Etapa 23·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
27%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,251,272,51sigur0,28–2,210,41–2,120,69–4,33mai sigur0,03–2,470,18–2,350,21–4,81
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
14%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,523,748,27sigur2,66–6,382,00–5,494,66–11,87mai sigur2,17–6,871,54–5,953,70–12,83
Total șuturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6511,9525,61sigur9,73–17,588,39–15,5118,12–33,09mai sigur8,64–18,677,43–16,4716,07–35,14
Șuturi din careu
59%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,727,2615,98sigur5,78–11,664,58–9,9410,35–21,60mai sigur4,95–12,493,84–10,688,79–23,17
Șuturi blocate
53%
16%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,502,806,30sigur1,62–5,391,15–4,452,77–9,84mai sigur1,08–5,930,65–4,941,73–10,87
Cornere
51%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,164,609,75sigur2,94–7,372,60–6,605,54–13,97mai sigur2,37–7,952,06–7,134,43–15,07
Posesie %
37%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,5652,32sigur40,77–54,3545,53–59,10mai sigur39,10–56,0243,86–60,77
Pase
36%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție408451860sigur341–475385–518726–993mai sigur323–494367–535690–1029
Precizie pase %
30%
65%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,1372,72sigur65,10–73,1668,39–77,04mai sigur63,81–74,4567,08–78,35
Faulturi
38%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6613,7526,42sigur9,83–15,5010,81–16,7020,63–32,20mai sigur9,07–16,2610,06–17,4519,13–33,70
Ofsaiduri
43%
22%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,831,663,49sigur0,67–3,000,56–2,751,24–5,74mai sigur0,37–3,300,27–3,040,65–6,33
Cartonașe galbene
35%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,052,344,39sigur1,01–3,101,21–3,472,21–6,57mai sigur0,74–3,370,92–3,761,66–7,13
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,120,24sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,310,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,440,00–0,87
Parade portar
31%
17%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,443,075,51sigur1,01–3,881,52–4,632,52–8,51mai sigur0,62–4,271,09–5,051,71–9,32
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,25 0,28–2,21 0,03–2,47 | 1,27 0,41–2,12 0,18–2,35 | 2,51 0,69–4,33 0,21–4,81 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,52 2,66–6,38 2,17–6,87 | 3,74 2,00–5,49 1,54–5,95 | 8,27 4,66–11,87 3,70–12,83 | 54% 14% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 13,65 9,73–17,58 8,64–18,67 | 11,95 8,39–15,51 7,43–16,47 | 25,61 18,12–33,09 16,07–35,14 | 59% 33% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,72 5,78–11,66 4,95–12,49 | 7,26 4,58–9,94 3,84–10,68 | 15,98 10,35–21,60 8,79–23,17 | 59% 31% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,50 1,62–5,39 1,08–5,93 | 2,80 1,15–4,45 0,65–4,94 | 6,30 2,77–9,84 1,73–10,87 | 53% 16% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,16 2,94–7,37 2,37–7,95 | 4,60 2,60–6,60 2,06–7,13 | 9,75 5,54–13,97 4,43–15,07 | 51% 37% |
| Posesie % | 47,56 40,77–54,35 39,10–56,02 | 52,32 45,53–59,10 43,86–60,77 | — | 37% 59% |
| Pase | 408 341–475 323–494 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 860 726–993 690–1029 | 36% 64% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,13 65,10–73,16 63,81–74,45 | 72,72 68,39–77,04 67,08–78,35 | — | 30% 65% |
| Faulturi | 12,66 9,83–15,50 9,07–16,26 | 13,75 10,81–16,70 10,06–17,45 | 26,42 20,63–32,20 19,13–33,70 | 38% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,83 0,67–3,00 0,37–3,30 | 1,66 0,56–2,75 0,27–3,04 | 3,49 1,24–5,74 0,65–6,33 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,05 1,01–3,10 0,74–3,37 | 2,34 1,21–3,47 0,92–3,76 | 4,39 2,21–6,57 1,66–7,13 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,44 1,01–3,88 0,62–4,27 | 3,07 1,52–4,63 1,09–5,05 | 5,51 2,52–8,51 1,71–9,32 | 31% 17% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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