Primeira Liga·Etapa 23·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
57%
23%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,750,942,69sigur0,78–2,720,08–1,790,87–4,51mai sigur0,53–2,970,00–2,020,39–4,99
Șuturi pe poartă
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,882,988,86sigur4,01–7,741,24–4,725,25–12,46mai sigur3,52–8,230,77–5,194,30–13,42
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,759,5527,31sigur13,83–21,685,99–13,1219,82–34,79mai sigur12,74–22,775,03–14,0817,77–36,84
Șuturi din careu
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,505,5016,00sigur7,56–13,442,82–8,1810,37–21,62mai sigur6,73–14,272,08–8,918,81–23,19
Șuturi blocate
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,942,627,56sigur3,06–6,830,97–4,274,03–11,10mai sigur2,52–7,370,47–4,762,99–12,13
Cornere
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,243,449,68sigur4,03–8,451,44–5,445,47–13,90mai sigur3,45–9,030,91–5,984,36–15,00
Posesie %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,5745,65sigur47,78–61,3638,87–52,43mai sigur46,11–63,0337,19–54,11
Pase
68%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție451396847sigur384–518329–462713–980mai sigur366–536312–480677–1016
Precizie pase %
62%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,5369,67sigur68,50–76,5665,35–74,00mai sigur67,21–77,8564,04–75,30
Faulturi
62%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3312,2826,61sigur11,49–17,179,34–15,2320,83–32,39mai sigur10,74–17,928,59–15,9819,33–33,90
Ofsaiduri
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,873,42sigur0,39–2,710,78–2,961,16–5,67mai sigur0,08–3,010,49–3,250,58–6,26
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,062,134,19sigur1,01–3,111,00–3,262,02–6,37mai sigur0,75–3,380,71–3,551,46–6,93
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,130,24sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,320,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,450,00–0,87
Parade portar
19%
14%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,233,836,06sigur0,80–3,672,27–5,393,07–9,06mai sigur0,41–4,061,85–5,812,26–9,87
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,75 0,78–2,72 0,53–2,97 | 0,94 0,08–1,79 0,00–2,02 | 2,69 0,87–4,51 0,39–4,99 | 57% 23% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,88 4,01–7,74 3,52–8,23 | 2,98 1,24–4,72 0,77–5,19 | 8,86 5,25–12,46 4,30–13,42 | 79% |
| Total șuturi | 17,75 13,83–21,68 12,74–22,77 | 9,55 5,99–13,12 5,03–14,08 | 27,31 19,82–34,79 17,77–36,84 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,50 7,56–13,44 6,73–14,27 | 5,50 2,82–8,18 2,08–8,91 | 16,00 10,37–21,62 8,81–23,19 | 87% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,94 3,06–6,83 2,52–7,37 | 2,62 0,97–4,27 0,47–4,76 | 7,56 4,03–11,10 2,99–12,13 | 75% 15% |
| Cornere | 6,24 4,03–8,45 3,45–9,03 | 3,44 1,44–5,44 0,91–5,98 | 9,68 5,47–13,90 4,36–15,00 | 77% 14% |
| Posesie % | 54,57 47,78–61,36 46,11–63,03 | 45,65 38,87–52,43 37,19–54,11 | — | 68% 28% |
| Pase | 451 384–518 366–536 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 847 713–980 677–1016 | 68% 32% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,53 68,50–76,56 67,21–77,85 | 69,67 65,35–74,00 64,04–75,30 | — | 62% 33% |
| Faulturi | 14,33 11,49–17,17 10,74–17,92 | 12,28 9,34–15,23 8,59–15,98 | 26,61 20,83–32,39 19,33–33,90 | 62% 31% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,55 0,39–2,71 0,08–3,01 | 1,87 0,78–2,96 0,49–3,25 | 3,42 1,16–5,67 0,58–6,26 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,06 1,01–3,11 0,75–3,38 | 2,13 1,00–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 4,19 2,02–6,37 1,46–6,93 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,23 0,80–3,67 0,41–4,06 | 3,83 2,27–5,39 1,85–5,81 | 6,06 3,07–9,06 2,26–9,87 | 19% 14% 67% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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