Primeira Liga·Etapa 24·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
16%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,782,403,18sigur0,00–1,751,54–3,251,36–5,00mai sigur0,00–2,001,32–3,480,88–5,48
Șuturi pe poartă
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,746,088,82sigur0,88–4,604,34–7,825,22–12,43mai sigur0,39–5,093,87–8,294,26–13,38
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,4216,3324,75sigur4,49–12,3412,77–19,8917,26–32,24mai sigur3,40–13,4411,81–20,8515,21–34,29
Șuturi din careu
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,8711,2116,08sigur1,93–7,818,53–13,8910,46–21,71mai sigur1,10–8,647,79–14,638,89–23,27
Șuturi blocate
16%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,414,486,89sigur0,53–4,292,83–6,143,36–10,43mai sigur0,00–4,832,34–6,632,32–11,46
Cornere
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,986,449,42sigur0,77–5,204,44–8,445,21–13,63mai sigur0,20–5,773,90–8,974,10–14,74
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție39,2661,70sigur32,47–46,0554,92–68,49mai sigur30,80–47,7253,24–70,16
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție360561921sigur293–427495–628788–1055mai sigur275–446477–645752–1091
Precizie pase %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,7381,37sigur63,70–71,7677,05–85,70mai sigur62,41–73,0575,74–87,01
Faulturi
65%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0111,5625,57sigur11,17–16,858,61–14,5019,78–31,35mai sigur10,41–17,607,87–15,2518,28–32,85
Ofsaiduri
24%
21%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,342,143,49sigur0,18–2,501,05–3,231,23–5,74mai sigur0,00–2,810,76–3,520,64–6,33
Cartonașe galbene
58%
16%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,162,195,35sigur2,11–4,211,06–3,323,17–7,53mai sigur1,84–4,470,77–3,612,61–8,09
Cartonașe roșii
20%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,260,130,38sigur0,10–0,420,00–0,310,04–0,73mai sigur0,00–0,570,00–0,450,00–1,01
Parade portar
73%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,022,046,06sigur2,59–5,460,48–3,593,07–9,05mai sigur2,20–5,850,06–4,022,26–9,87
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,78 0,00–1,75 0,00–2,00 | 2,40 1,54–3,25 1,32–3,48 | 3,18 1,36–5,00 0,88–5,48 | 16% 73% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 2,74 0,88–4,60 0,39–5,09 | 6,08 4,34–7,82 3,87–8,29 | 8,82 5,22–12,43 4,26–13,38 | 83% |
| Total șuturi | 8,42 4,49–12,34 3,40–13,44 | 16,33 12,77–19,89 11,81–20,85 | 24,75 17,26–32,24 15,21–34,29 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 4,87 1,93–7,81 1,10–8,64 | 11,21 8,53–13,89 7,79–14,63 | 16,08 10,46–21,71 8,89–23,27 | 93% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,41 0,53–4,29 0,00–4,83 | 4,48 2,83–6,14 2,34–6,63 | 6,89 3,36–10,43 2,32–11,46 | 16% 73% |
| Cornere | 2,98 0,77–5,20 0,20–5,77 | 6,44 4,44–8,44 3,90–8,97 | 9,42 5,21–13,63 4,10–14,74 | 84% |
| Posesie % | 39,26 32,47–46,05 30,80–47,72 | 61,70 54,92–68,49 53,24–70,16 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 360 293–427 275–446 | 561 495–628 477–645 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,73 63,70–71,76 62,41–73,05 | 81,37 77,05–85,70 75,74–87,01 | — | 96% |
| Faulturi | 14,01 11,17–16,85 10,41–17,60 | 11,56 8,61–14,50 7,87–15,25 | 25,57 19,78–31,35 18,28–32,85 | 65% 28% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,34 0,18–2,50 0,00–2,81 | 2,14 1,05–3,23 0,76–3,52 | 3,49 1,23–5,74 0,64–6,33 | 24% 21% 56% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 3,16 2,11–4,21 1,84–4,47 | 2,19 1,06–3,32 0,77–3,61 | 5,35 3,17–7,53 2,61–8,09 | 58% 16% 26% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,26 0,10–0,42 0,00–0,57 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,38 0,04–0,73 0,00–1,01 | 20% 70% |
| Parade portar | 4,02 2,59–5,46 2,20–5,85 | 2,04 0,48–3,59 0,06–4,02 | 6,06 3,07–9,05 2,26–9,87 | 73% 15% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.